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NBA Daily Fantasy Projections and Value Plays - February 21, 2015


That was quite the NBA trade deadline, in fact, it was the busiest trade deadline day in NBA history with a total of 37 players moving. This creates a very interesting landscape in the world of daily fantasy as it will take some time to get a solid picture of how players and teams are impacted, from a fantasy persepective, due to the moves.

However, it is great to be back playing NBA daily fantasy. So lets get straight to it, here is a look, based on our internal projections, of how players in today's games are set to perform tonight and where you can find some value.

Note: make sure to keep an eye on injury and lineup reports!

Centers

Here is a look at our projections for FanDuel Centers tonight including their Ceiling, Project, Ceiling, and Value:

Player Team Salary Ceiling Projection Floor Value
DeMarcus Cousins SAC $11,000 62.400 47.550 32.700 4.323
DeAndre Jordan LAC $9,300 57.141 40.444 23.746 4.349
Al Jefferson CHA $8,300 45.336 33.366 21.395 4.020
Hassan Whiteside MIA $7,700 44.665 28.853 13.041 3.747
Joakim Noah CHI $6,800 32.885 24.177 15.470 3.555
Jonas Valanciunas TOR $5,900 32.636 23.561 14.486 3.993
Enes Kanter OKC $5,900 32.927 23.092 13.257 3.914
Omer Asik NO $4,700 30.556 21.595 12.635 4.595
Alexis Ajinca NO $4,300 34.337 20.139 5.941 4.683
Alex Len PHO $4,400 28.538 18.539 8.540 4.213
Spencer Hawes LAC $3,800 29.342 17.627 5.912 4.639
Chris Andersen MIA $3,700 26.186 16.767 7.349 4.532
Brandan Wright PHO $3,500 20.283 13.584 6.885 3.881
Joey Dorsey HOU $3,500 20.661 10.246 0.000 2.928
Jeff Withey NO $3,500 19.288 9.256 0.000 2.645
Jason Maxiell CHA $3,700 14.354 7.266 0.177 1.964
Justin Hamilton NO $3,500 17.951 5.706 0.000 1.630
Chuck Hayes TOR $3,500 8.521 4.813 1.105 1.375
Ekpe Udoh LAC $3,500 10.198 4.162 0.000 1.189
Lucas Nogueira TOR $3,500 6.608 3.583 0.558 1.024
Nazr Mohammed CHI $3,500 7.309 2.976 0.000 0.850
Ryan Hollins SAC $3,500 7.957 2.707 0.000 0.773
Greg Stiemsma TOR $3,500 2.271 0.983 0.000 0.281


Power Forwards

Here is a look at our projections for FanDuel Power Forwards tonight including their Ceiling, Project, Ceiling, and Value:

Player Team Salary Ceiling Projection Floor Value
Anthony Davis NO $11,000 54.779 41.003 27.228 3.728
Pau Gasol CHI $9,700 50.733 38.512 26.291 3.970
Markieff Morris PHO $6,200 43.312 30.554 17.797 4.928
Josh Smith HOU $6,500 41.192 29.978 18.764 4.612
Taj Gibson CHI $5,100 38.236 26.188 14.140 5.135
Serge Ibaka OKC $7,100 33.961 24.217 14.473 3.411
Amir Johnson TOR $4,900 32.059 21.689 11.320 4.426
Ryan Anderson NO $5,300 32.538 20.916 9.294 3.946
Patrick Patterson TOR $5,000 28.614 19.648 10.681 3.930
Terrence Jones HOU $5,100 28.795 19.100 9.404 3.745
Cody Zeller CHA $4,900 28.820 18.497 8.174 3.775
Nick Collison OKC $3,800 31.946 18.338 4.730 4.826
Marcus Morris PHO $3,900 26.617 18.077 9.538 4.635
Josh McRoberts MIA $4,600 28.813 17.152 5.490 3.729
Donatas Motiejunas HOU $5,600 24.454 16.882 9.309 3.015
Mitch McGary OKC $3,800 31.705 16.683 1.661 4.390
Marvin Williams CHA $4,200 25.587 16.423 7.259 3.910
Derrick Williams SAC $3,600 28.986 16.204 3.422 4.501
Jason Thompson SAC $3,800 20.586 12.778 4.971 3.363
Nikola Mirotic CHI $3,500 20.304 11.944 3.584 3.413
Carl Landry SAC $3,500 19.024 10.435 1.846 2.981
Dante Cunningham NO $4,100 16.052 9.945 3.838 2.426
Udonis Haslem MIA $3,500 15.353 9.141 2.930 2.612
Glen Davis LAC $3,600 16.684 9.117 1.551 2.533
Noah Vonleh CHA $3,600 13.391 8.815 4.239 2.449
Tyler Hansbrough TOR $3,500 7.993 4.933 1.873 1.409
Clint Capela HOU $3,500 4.457 1.815 0.000 0.519
Eric Moreland SAC $3,500 2.833 1.600 0.367 0.457
Cameron Bairstow CHI $3,500 5.374 1.409 0.000 0.403

 

Point Guards

Here is a look at our projections for FanDuel Point Guards tonight including their Ceiling, Project, Ceiling, and Value:

Player Team Salary Ceiling Projection Floor Value
Russell Westbrook OKC $11,000 62.793 46.643 30.493 4.240
Chris Paul LAC $10,000 60.152 45.176 30.200 4.518
Kyle Lowry TOR $7,800 43.777 32.356 20.935 4.148
Brandon Knight PHO $7,600 43.582 32.182 20.782 4.234
Derrick Rose CHI $7,000 46.341 32.113 17.886 4.588
D.J. Augustin OKC $7,200 40.191 26.417 12.643 3.669
Goran Dragic MIA $6,000 38.430 26.352 14.274 4.392
Mario Chalmers MIA $5,300 41.262 25.917 10.571 4.890
Brian Roberts CHA $5,100 36.888 22.978 9.068 4.505
Patrick Beverley HOU $4,800 30.851 21.896 12.941 4.562
Mo Williams CHA $5,400 31.479 21.675 11.871 4.014
Shabazz Napier MIA $3,700 25.042 16.051 7.060 4.338
Greivis Vasquez TOR $4,100 24.042 15.427 6.813 3.763
Ray McCallum SAC $3,500 28.623 15.087 1.551 4.311
Norris Cole NO $3,800 22.496 14.722 6.947 3.874
Aaron Brooks CHI $3,600 22.025 13.696 5.366 3.804
Andre Miller SAC $3,500 20.354 12.318 4.283 3.520
Tyler Johnson MIA $3,500 20.660 11.694 2.727 3.341
Kirk Hinrich CHI $3,500 16.682 10.413 4.145 2.975
Jordan Farmar LAC $3,500 18.384 9.736 1.088 2.782
Archie Goodwin PHO $3,500 18.467 7.975 0.000 2.279
Jimmer Fredette NO $3,500 13.573 7.377 1.182 2.108
Gal Mekel NO $3,500 12.275 7.342 2.408 2.098
Kendall Marshall PHO $3,500 13.311 7.127 0.942 2.036
Pablo Prigioni HOU $3,500 11.926 6.870 1.814 1.963
E'Twaun Moore CHI $3,500 14.179 4.851 0.000 1.386
Jannero Pargo CHA $3,500 8.447 4.406 0.365 1.259
Ishmael Smith NO $3,500 6.723 2.901 0.000 0.829
Nate Wolters NO $3,500 3.426 1.710 0.000 0.488
Troy Daniels CHA $3,500 2.879 1.171 0.000 0.335


Small Forward

Here is a look at our projections for FanDuel Small Forwards tonight including their Ceiling, Project, Ceiling, and Value: 

Player Team Salary Ceiling Projection Floor Value
Rudy Gay SAC $7,200 49.678 36.628 23.578 5.087
Luol Deng MIA $5,900 37.658 26.690 15.723 4.524
Trevor Ariza HOU $5,600 34.775 25.619 16.463 4.575
Gerald Henderson CHA $5,700 37.862 25.118 12.374 4.407
P.J. Tucker PHO $4,700 34.074 22.838 11.601 4.859
Matt Barnes LAC $4,900 31.577 21.173 10.769 4.321
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist CHA $5,700 29.301 20.504 11.708 3.597
Corey Brewer HOU $4,400 31.391 20.371 9.351 4.630
James Johnson TOR $3,900 30.991 19.567 8.143 5.017
Gerald Green PHO $3,900 30.990 18.799 6.607 4.820
Omri Casspi SAC $3,500 25.480 15.976 6.472 4.565
Kyle Singler OKC $3,500 26.919 15.870 4.821 4.534
Jeffery Taylor CHA $3,500 31.776 14.106 0.000 4.030
Mike Dunleavy CHI $4,200 23.202 13.652 4.102 3.250
K.J. McDaniels HOU $4,100 19.995 13.469 6.942 3.285
Luke Babbitt NO $3,800 24.683 11.504 0.000 3.027
Terrence Ross TOR $3,500 16.753 10.735 4.717 3.067
Quincy Pondexter NO $3,500 17.409 10.413 3.417 2.975
James Ennis MIA $3,500 18.273 9.489 0.705 2.711
Francisco Garcia HOU $3,500 15.392 9.178 2.964 2.622
Kostas Papanikolaou HOU $3,500 15.368 8.648 1.928 2.471
Steve Novak OKC $3,500 22.982 7.819 0.000 2.234
Shawne Williams NO $3,500 13.361 7.552 1.743 2.158
Hedo Turkoglu LAC $3,500 11.034 5.814 0.594 1.661
T.J. Warren PHO $3,500 11.353 5.753 0.154 1.644
Jeremy Lamb OKC $3,500 9.397 4.398 0.000 1.256
Perry Jones III OKC $3,500 8.113 4.291 0.469 1.226
Quincy Miller SAC $3,500 8.809 3.894 0.000 1.113
John Salmons PHO $3,500 7.058 3.457 0.000 0.988
Reggie Bullock PHO $3,500 2.508 1.224 0.000 0.350
Landry Fields TOR $3,500 2.511 1.213 0.000 0.347
Doug McDermott CHI $3,500 3.784 0.964 0.000 0.275


Shooting Guard

Here is a look at our projections for FanDuel Small Forwards tonight including their Ceiling, Project, Ceiling, and Value: 

Player Team Salary Ceiling Projection Floor Value
James Harden HOU $10,800 65.988 48.472 30.956 4.488
Eric Bledsoe PHO $8,400 50.728 35.373 20.018 4.211
Tyreke Evans NO $8,100 42.686 31.024 19.362 3.830
Jimmy Butler CHI $8,800 42.338 30.622 18.906 3.480
DeMar DeRozan TOR $6,900 44.223 29.225 14.226 4.235
Jamal Crawford LAC $5,700 40.796 28.203 15.610 4.948
Dwyane Wade MIA $7,700 36.463 27.703 18.943 3.598
J.J. Redick LAC $4,500 34.536 23.358 12.180 5.191
Eric Gordon NO $6,300 33.915 22.215 10.515 3.526
Louis Williams TOR $5,100 34.055 21.572 9.089 4.230
Ben McLemore SAC $4,300 27.933 19.052 10.171 4.431
Lance Stephenson CHA $4,900 25.589 18.326 11.063 3.740
Tony Snell CHI $3,600 33.569 17.683 1.797 4.912
Marcus Thornton PHO $4,000 28.935 17.625 6.315 4.406
Dion Waiters OKC $4,500 25.740 16.055 6.369 3.568
Anthony Morrow OKC $3,600 20.025 12.583 5.141 3.495
Jason Terry HOU $3,500 19.080 11.716 4.352 3.348
Andre Roberson OKC $3,500 18.831 11.606 4.382 3.316
P.J. Hairston CHA $3,500 18.668 10.301 1.935 2.943
Danny Granger PHO $3,500 15.430 8.619 1.809 2.463
Elliot Williams CHA $3,500 12.588 4.162 0.000 1.189
Nik Stauskas SAC $3,500 6.373 3.326 0.279 0.950
Nick Johnson HOU $3,500 8.602 3.139 0.000 0.897
C.J. Wilcox LAC $3,500 7.216 2.907 0.000 0.831
Zoran Dragic MIA $3,500 5.190 2.277 0.000 0.651
Dahntay Jones LAC $3,500 4.177 1.761 0.000 0.503
Darius Miller NO $3,500 4.377 1.284 0.000 0.367


Optimal Lineup

Here is an optimal lineup using the projections above. Note, these projections are a baseline guide and should give you an indication of what to expect from each player but should be helped by additional analysis.

Screen Shot 2015-02-21 At 3.01.01 PM

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