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NBA FanDuel Projection Guide - April 2, 2015


It's Slam Thursday on FanDuel and you have a chance to take home a cool $20,000! Tonight could be your night. It will take some skill and a bit of luck but everyone who enters the FanDuel $200,000 NBA Slam has a solid shot at the prize. When building your lineup, based on what has been seen in the past, it will take a combination of an elite talent or two hitting 55+ FanDuel points and your value guys bringing in 5x value at a minimum. To win the slam you will need to likely hit somewhere between 350-410 points - which makes it important to look for those guys who have high ceilings with big opportunities to hit big.

First, before we jump into the FanDuel projections and value plays for April 2, we just wanted to point out two new tools we recently added to the site.

The first is the NBA Daily Value Tracker which gives a complete breakdown of each NBA player from value perspective - for those who don't know, value is a measure of the relationship between the fantasy production of the player and their fantasy cost.

The second tools is the Defense vs. Position Report which details the daily fantasy production of each position against a team's defense - for example, this will allow you to get an understanding of how Centers do against the Miami Heat (14th best defense).

Not too sure where to start in building your lineup? One key strategy to building a winning lineup is to target a couple of key studs like James Harden or Russell Westbrook who can put up those 50+ FanDuel point nights and then fill your lineup with some value players (noted by the value column - look for guys with a value of 4.5+ as they come at a relatively low cost to their projected points).

Below is a look, based on our internal projections, of how players in today's games are set to perform tonight and where you can find some value. We will be updating through the day as lineups take shape but make sure to keep an eye on injury and lineup reports!

FanDuel is hosting their $200,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $20,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel! Use the following projections to build a winning lineup!

Projections for April 2

Before we jump into the projections, here is a quick guide for those who are new to daily fantasy. Exp. Min - is simply the minutes the player is expected to play in tonights game. Ceiling - is the high end projection of the players FanDuel points. Projection - is the production we are expecting from the player tonight. Floor - is the low end production we are expecting from the player. Value - is a measure of the relative value of the player when comparing their projection to their salary, it is calculated as: Projection/(Salary/1000).

Here are our projections:

Player Pos Team Salary Exp Min Ceiling Projection Floor Value
James Harden SG HOU 11500 38.0 64.85 47.69 30.53 4.147
LeBron James SF CLE 11000 35.7 58.74 43.33 27.92 3.939
Stephen Curry PG GS 9900 33.3 56.67 42.62 28.57 4.305
Rajon Rondo PG DAL 6200 33.0 50.11 34.96 19.81 5.639
Kyrie Irving PG CLE 8100 37.0 48.83 34.56 20.30 4.267
Eric Bledsoe SG PHO 7800 34.3 48.28 33.50 18.72 4.295
Dwyane Wade SG MIA 7500 30.7 43.26 32.12 20.99 4.283
Klay Thompson SG GS 7200 31.7 44.68 31.48 18.27 4.372
Monta Ellis SG DAL 6700 33.3 42.19 30.14 18.09 4.499
Kevin Love PF CLE 7400 31.3 41.62 30.06 18.49 4.062
Dirk Nowitzki PF DAL 5900 31.7 40.68 29.89 19.11 5.067
Chandler Parsons SF DAL 6500 36.3 43.28 29.06 14.83 4.470
Markieff Morris PF PHO 7000 33.0 40.17 28.93 17.69 4.133
Josh Smith PF HOU 7000 28.3 39.17 28.63 18.09 4.090
Trevor Ariza SF HOU 6400 38.3 38.19 27.61 17.03 4.314
Marcus Morris PF PHO 5800 34.3 39.00 26.95 14.90 4.647
Goran Dragic PG MIA 6400 33.7 40.82 26.89 12.95 4.201
Draymond Green SF GS 7300 26.3 35.99 25.84 15.68 3.539
Tyson Chandler C DAL 5500 28.7 36.79 25.79 14.78 4.689
J.R. Smith SG CLE 5700 35.3 39.48 25.75 12.02 4.517
Andrew Bogut C GS 5100 25.3 42.25 24.39 6.53 4.783
Hassan Whiteside C MIA 7900 19.7 36.15 24.15 12.14 3.057
P.J. Tucker SF PHO 5200 33.3 34.54 23.34 12.14 4.488
David Lee PF GS 4500 22.7 31.57 22.96 14.36 5.103
Terrence Jones PF HOU 6400 23.7 32.62 22.64 12.67 3.538
Brandon Knight PG PHO 6500 23.3 31.49 22.53 13.57 3.466
Udonis Haslem PF MIA 5100 33.0 36.93 22.18 7.43 4.349
Luol Deng SF MIA 5400 29.0 29.94 20.72 11.50 3.837
Timofey Mozgov C CLE 4800 25.3 30.02 20.18 10.33 4.203
Corey Brewer SF HOU 5100 25.0 31.54 20.10 8.67 3.942
Mario Chalmers PG MIA 4500 28.0 31.02 19.39 7.75 4.308
Andre Iguodala SF GS 5000 28.3 28.77 19.25 9.73 3.849
Joey Dorsey C HOU 3500 25.3 37.48 19.24 1.00 5.498
Dwight Howard C HOU 7500 18.3 27.06 18.75 10.45 2.501
Devin Harris PG DAL 3700 24.0 29.42 18.34 7.25 4.955
Chris Andersen C MIA 3700 23.7 27.79 18.17 8.55 4.911
Harrison Barnes SF GS 4200 25.0 24.36 17.35 10.34 4.131
Amar'e Stoudemire PF DAL 3800 18.0 24.54 17.20 9.85 4.526
Pablo Prigioni PG HOU 3600 26.3 29.28 16.96 4.64 4.711
Brandan Wright C PHO 4600 17.3 24.62 16.82 9.02 3.656
Iman Shumpert SG CLE 4100 22.3 27.14 16.52 5.90 4.028
Al-Farouq Aminu SF DAL 4000 19.7 30.10 16.20 2.31 4.051
Shaun Livingston PG GS 3800 20.7 24.91 15.77 6.62 4.150
Tristan Thompson PF CLE 4200 21.0 23.61 15.64 7.67 3.724
Tyler Johnson SG MIA 3600 22.7 29.49 15.55 1.61 4.319
Marreese Speights PF GS 3800 13.3 23.98 14.54 5.10 3.827
T.J. Warren SF PHO 4200 21.0 26.75 14.37 1.99 3.422
James Ennis SF MIA 3600 22.0 25.00 13.26 1.51 3.682
Jason Terry SG HOU 3500 21.7 21.42 13.16 4.91 3.761
Leandro Barbosa SG GS 3500 15.3 21.17 12.09 3.00 3.454
Jose Juan Barea PG DAL 3700 14.3 18.28 11.99 5.69 3.239
Gerald Green SF PHO 3600 14.0 20.41 11.93 3.44 3.313
Archie Goodwin PG PHO 3500 12.7 21.36 10.35 0.00 2.959
Marcus Thornton SG PHO 3500 12.3 16.62 10.03 3.45 2.866
Clint Capela PF HOU 3600 10.3 18.98 9.81 0.63 2.724
James Michael McAdoo PF GS 3500 9.3 18.56 9.72 0.87 2.776
Will Cherry PG CLE 3500 15.3 17.03 9.56 2.08 2.730
Francisco Garcia SF HOU 3500 17.3 15.39 9.18 2.96 2.622
Festus Ezeli C GS 3500 9.7 14.69 8.63 2.57 2.466
Danny Granger SG PHO 3500 16.3 15.43 8.62 1.81 2.463
Matthew Dellavedova PG CLE 3500 15.7 13.70 8.38 3.07 2.396
Raymond Felton PG DAL 3500 11.3 20.59 7.86 0.00 2.246
Dwight Powell PF DAL 3500 5.7 13.39 7.68 1.97 2.195
Shabazz Napier PG MIA 3500 12.7 11.67 7.49 3.31 2.141
Justin Holiday SF GS 3500 9.3 13.28 6.88 0.48 1.965
Nick Johnson SG HOU 3500 12.7 18.41 6.44 0.00 1.839
Charlie Villanueva PF DAL 3500 6.3 11.54 6.07 0.60 1.734
A.J. Price PG PHO 3500 7.0 9.48 5.81 2.15 1.661
Richard Jefferson SF DAL 3500 8.7 12.59 5.36 0.00 1.532
Kostas Papanikolaou SF HOU 3500 8.7 9.54 5.33 1.11 1.521
Brandon Rush SG GS 3500 11.0 9.85 4.64 0.00 1.326
James Jones SF CLE 3500 7.3 9.45 4.25 0.00 1.215
John Salmons SF PHO 3500 8.7 7.06 3.46 0.00 0.988
Kendrick Perkins C CLE 3500 5.0 6.02 3.22 0.42 0.919
Brendan Haywood C CLE 3500 4.3 6.67 3.19 0.00 0.912
Shawn Marion SF CLE 3500 4.7 4.69 2.82 0.95 0.807
Reggie Bullock SF PHO 3500 5.3 6.46 2.80 0.00 0.800
Zoran Dragic SG MIA 3500 2.0 3.60 1.71 0.00 0.488
Ognjen Kuzmic C GS 3500 2.3 3.70 1.63 0.00 0.467
Mike Miller SF CLE 3500 3.3 2.83 1.41 0.00 0.402
Greg Smith PF DAL 3500 2.3 2.73 1.40 0.07 0.399
Joe Harris SG CLE 3500 2.7 3.59 1.17 0.00 0.335
K.J. McDaniels SF HOU 3500 1.3 1.66 0.94 0.23 0.270
Donatas Motiejunas PF HOU 6200 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Alex Len C PHO 4200 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000

FanDuel is hosting their $200,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $20,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel!

 



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