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NBA FanDuel Projection Guide - March 05, 2015


Wow. What a night last night. Congrats to FanDueler doctorphelps who took home the $100,000 prize in last nights $1 Million Mega Slam. Here was his winning lineup:

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First, before we jump into the FanDuel projections and value plays for March 05, we just wanted to point out two new tools we recently added to the site.

The first is the NBA Daily Value Tracker which gives a complete breakdown of each NBA player from value perspective - for those who don't know, value is a measure of the relationship between the fantasy production of the player and their fantasy cost.

The second tools is the Defense vs. Position Report which details the daily fantasy production of each position against a team's defense - for example, this will allow you to get an understanding of how Centers do against the Miami Heat (14th best defense).

Not too sure where to start in building your lineup? One key strategy to building a winning lineup is to target a couple of key studs like James Harden or Russell Westbrook who can put up those 50+ FanDuel point nights and then fill your lineup with some value players (noted by the value column - look for guys with a value of 4.5+ as they come at a relatively low cost to their projected points).

Below is a look, based on our internal projections, of how players in today's games are set to perform tonight and where you can find some value. We will be updating through the day as lineups take shape but make sure to keep an eye on injury and lineup reports!

FanDuel is hosting their $250,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $25,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel! Use the following projections to build a winning lineup!

Projections for March 05

As you can see from the winning lineup in last nights contest, Russell Westbrook is continuing to dominate the court. He put up 87.2 FanDuel points last night and has put up 50+ in six of his last seven games. With tonight's short slate, he could be as close to 100% owned as a player we've seen this season.

Here are our projections:

Player Pos Team Salary Exp. Min Ceiling Proj Floor Value
Russell Westbrook PG OKC 12000 40.67 79.766 59.087 38.408 4.924
LaMarcus Aldridge PF POR 9800 40.67 60.821 45.632 30.443 4.656
Damian Lillard PG POR 8700 38.67 52.738 39.340 25.942 4.522
Pau Gasol PF CHI 9400 33.67 50.551 38.482 26.412 4.094
Joakim Noah C CHI 7400 35.33 43.203 32.074 20.944 4.334
Serge Ibaka PF OKC 8200 35.33 45.629 31.107 16.585 3.794
Monta Ellis SG DAL 6700 33.67 42.614 30.595 18.575 4.566
Tyson Chandler C DAL 6100 32.67 42.929 40.435 17.939 4.989
Dirk Nowitzki PF DAL 6300 29.00 37.954 28.080 18.205 4.457
Rajon Rondo PG DAL 5400 26.00 40.102 27.544 14.986 5.101
D.J. Augustin PG OKC 6800 32.67 40.018 26.690 13.361 3.925
Nicolas Batum SF POR 5600 36.67 38.555 26.675 14.795 4.763
Aaron Brooks PG CHI 4800 32.33 42.717 26.567 10.417 5.535
Wesley Matthews SG POR 6400 35.00 38.879 26.384 13.889 4.123
Enes Kanter C OKC 6000 29.00 36.697 25.431 14.164 4.238
Nikola Mirotic PF CHI 4700 27.33 41.694 25.089 8.484 5.338
Dion Waiters SG OKC 4400 31.67 36.907 23.464 10.022 5.333
Robin Lopez C POR 5000 29.00 32.315 22.571 12.827 4.514
Al-Farouq Aminu SF DAL 4600 25.00 38.529 20.604 2.679 4.479
Richard Jefferson SF DAL 3600 31.67 47.542 19.802 -7.938 5.501
Tony Snell SG CHI 3800 34.67 36.490 19.694 2.897 5.183
Arron Afflalo SG POR 4700 30.33 29.360 19.578 9.795 4.165
Mitch McGary PF OKC 4000 19.67 36.595 19.426 2.257 4.856
Amar'e Stoudemire PF DAL 5100 20.00 27.510 19.110 10.710 3.747
Jose Juan Barea PG DAL 4400 22.33 28.582 18.934 9.286 4.303
Mike Dunleavy SF CHI 3900 31.00 31.379 18.266 5.153 4.684
Devin Harris PG DAL 4700 22.33 27.099 17.451 7.803 3.713
Chris Kaman C POR 3800 16.00 22.053 14.973 7.893 3.940
Nick Collison PF OKC 3900 20.00 24.340 14.290 4.240 3.664
Charlie Villanueva PF DAL 3500 13.67 24.934 13.372 1.810 3.821
Kyle Singler SF OKC 3500 23.67 21.720 12.952 4.183 3.700
Joel Freeland C POR 3800 17.33 20.691 12.918 5.144 3.399
Anthony Morrow SG OKC 3500 20.00 20.370 12.600 4.830 3.600
Dwight Powell PF DAL 3500 9.00 21.583 12.200 2.818 3.486
Andre Roberson SG OKC 3500 16.67 16.986 10.236 3.486 2.925
Kirk Hinrich PG CHI 3500 20.00 15.726 9.846 3.966 2.813
C.J. McCollum SG POR 3500 15.00 18.558 9.513 0.468 2.718
Greg Smith PF DAL 3500 13.67 16.104 8.232 0.359 2.352
Jeremy Lamb SF OKC 3600 9.67 16.971 7.981 0.000 2.217
Steve Novak SF OKC 3500 11.00 22.093 7.589 0.000 2.168
Raymond Felton PG DAL 3500 10.00 19.277 7.472 0.000 2.135
Steve Blake PG POR 3500 11.00 11.348 6.530 1.712 1.866
Meyers Leonard C POR 3500 5.33 7.136 4.153 1.169 1.186
Perry Jones III SF OKC 3500 8.00 7.954 4.078 0.202 1.165
Dorell Wright SF POR 3500 4.67 7.468 3.646 0.000 1.042
Alonzo Gee SF POR 3500 5.33 7.590 3.606 0.000 1.030
Doug McDermott SF CHI 3500 6.67 11.989 3.009 0.000 0.860
Nazr Mohammed C CHI 3500 4.33 6.538 2.762 0.000 0.789
E'Twaun Moore PG CHI 3500 3.67 5.622 1.932 0.000 0.552
Allen Crabbe SG POR 3500 2.67 3.438 1.398 0.000 0.399
Cameron Bairstow PF CHI 3500 3.00 4.752 1.247 0.000 0.356
Ricky Ledo SG DAL 3500 3.00 2.532 0.791 0.000 0.226
Kevin Durant SF OKC 10300 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Jimmy Butler SG CHI 8600 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Chandler Parsons SF DAL 6200 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Taj Gibson PF CHI 4800 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Steven Adams C OKC 4300 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000


Optimal Lineups

Here are two optimal lineups, using the above projections...

With Westbrook:

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Without Westbrook:

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Good luck tonight! And let us know your lineup in the comments below!

FanDuel is hosting their $250,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $25,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel! Use the following projections to build a winning lineup! 



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