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NBA FanDuel Projection Guide - March 14, 2015


First, before we jump into the FanDuel projections and value plays for March 14, we just wanted to point out two new tools we recently added to the site.

The first is the NBA Daily Value Tracker which gives a complete breakdown of each NBA player from value perspective - for those who don't know, value is a measure of the relationship between the fantasy production of the player and their fantasy cost.

The second tools is the Defense vs. Position Report which details the daily fantasy production of each position against a team's defense - for example, this will allow you to get an understanding of how Centers do against the Miami Heat (14th best defense).

Not too sure where to start in building your lineup? One key strategy to building a winning lineup is to target a couple of key studs like James Harden or Russell Westbrook who can put up those 50+ FanDuel point nights and then fill your lineup with some value players (noted by the value column - look for guys with a value of 4.5+ as they come at a relatively low cost to their projected points).

Below is a look, based on our internal projections, of how players in today's games are set to perform tonight and where you can find some value. We will be updating through the day as lineups take shape but make sure to keep an eye on injury and lineup reports!

FanDuel is hosting their $250,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $25,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel! Use the following projections to build a winning lineup!

Projections for March 14

Before we jump into the projections, here is a quick guide for those who are new to daily fantasy. Exp. Min - is simply the minutes the player is expected to play in tonights game. Ceiling - is the high end projection of the players FanDuel points. Projection - is the production we are expecting from the player tonight. Floor - is the low end production we are expecting from the player. Value - is a measure of the relative value of the player when comparing their projection to their salary, it is calculated as: Projection/(Salary/1000).

Here are our projections:                                                                                                    

Player Pos Team Salary Exp Min Ceiling Projection Floor Value
DeMarcus Cousins C SAC 10500 35.3 61.33 47.08 32.82 4.483
Stephen Curry PG GS 10100 34.0 57.56 43.28 29.00 4.285
Andre Drummond C DET 8900 33.3 51.34 37.59 23.84 4.223
Marc Gasol C MEM 7600 35.3 47.77 37.43 27.10 4.926
Rudy Gobert C UTA 7700 36.7 52.64 37.30 21.95 4.844
Rudy Gay SF SAC 8200 38.0 49.38 36.16 22.93 4.410
Greg Monroe PF DET 8300 34.3 49.56 35.71 21.85 4.302
Derrick Favors PF UTA 7900 34.0 47.78 34.72 21.67 4.396
Khris Middleton SF MIL 7000 42.3 50.71 34.45 18.20 4.922
Michael Carter-Williams PG MIL 7800 35.3 47.67 34.36 21.06 4.405
John Wall PG WAS 9000 31.7 45.05 34.31 23.58 3.813
Alexey Shved PG NY 5600 33.3 62.18 32.33 2.48 5.773
Gordon Hayward SF UTA 7800 33.7 43.89 31.57 19.25 4.047
Klay Thompson SG GS 7200 32.0 45.25 31.47 17.70 4.371
Zach Randolph PF MEM 7900 31.0 42.03 31.39 20.74 3.973
Brook Lopez C BKN 7200 31.3 45.35 31.30 17.25 4.347
Marcin Gortat C WAS 6700 34.3 42.59 30.59 18.59 4.566
Giannis Antetokounmpo SG MIL 6900 34.0 40.33 28.95 17.58 4.196
George Hill PG IND 6200 28.3 40.04 28.87 17.69 4.656
Rodney Stuckey SG IND 6300 32.3 44.37 27.64 10.90 4.387
Draymond Green SF GS 8000 28.3 38.67 27.49 16.31 3.436
Nerlens Noel PF PHI 7500 32.0 40.41 27.26 14.10 3.634
Brandon Bass PF BOS 5800 32.3 40.30 26.52 12.75 4.573
Andrea Bargnani PF NY 5500 30.0 40.34 25.72 11.09 4.676
Thaddeus Young PF BKN 5800 31.0 35.03 25.31 15.59 4.364
Deron Williams PG BKN 5900 29.3 35.57 24.53 13.48 4.157
David West PF IND 5900 26.3 33.67 24.39 15.11 4.134
Joe Johnson SG BKN 5400 33.0 36.62 24.29 11.96 4.498
Avery Bradley SG BOS 5700 35.3 37.38 23.55 9.72 4.132
Evan Turner SG BOS 5500 28.3 35.07 23.47 11.87 4.267
Luis Scola PF IND 4600 24.3 33.93 23.38 12.83 5.082
Reggie Jackson PG DET 6500 27.0 33.70 23.30 12.89 3.584
Andrew Bogut C GS 5100 24.0 41.15 23.15 5.15 4.539
Jeff Green SF MEM 5000 29.3 31.99 22.88 13.78 4.577
Brad Beal SG WAS 5700 30.3 32.14 22.81 13.48 4.001
Ersan Ilyasova PF MIL 4400 27.0 36.81 22.80 8.79 5.182
Nene Hilario PF WAS 4800 26.7 33.62 22.50 11.38 4.687
Jason Richardson SG PHI 4300 27.3 34.60 21.85 9.10 5.082
Zaza Pachulia C MIL 4900 25.7 34.37 21.78 9.19 4.446
Tony Allen SG MEM 4600 29.0 31.52 21.64 11.77 4.705
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute SF PHI 5100 31.3 31.39 21.57 11.74 4.229
Robert Covington SF PHI 5500 26.3 32.57 21.55 10.53 3.918
Roy Hibbert C IND 5200 23.3 32.65 21.28 9.90 4.091
Shaun Livingston PG GS 4100 27.7 33.46 21.18 8.90 5.166
Langston Galloway PG NY 4900 28.7 29.99 21.00 12.01 4.286
Cole Aldrich C NY 4200 21.7 31.19 20.50 9.81 4.880
Ishmael Smith PG PHI 5200 28.0 44.66 20.30 0.00 3.905
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG DET 4900 32.7 30.93 20.30 9.66 4.142
David Lee PF GS 4700 19.0 27.14 20.10 13.06 4.276
Marcus Smart PG BOS 5000 29.0 28.57 20.04 11.52 4.009
Isaiah Canaan PG PHI 5100 30.0 38.31 19.68 1.05 3.859
Tim Hardaway Jr. SG NY 4300 28.3 30.64 19.59 8.54 4.557
Ray McCallum PG SAC 5000 28.3 35.05 19.36 3.68 3.873
C.J. Miles SF IND 4400 25.3 29.75 19.03 8.32 4.326
Jarrett Jack PG BKN 5600 24.3 27.70 18.98 10.25 3.389
O.J. Mayo SG MIL 4900 23.7 27.79 18.53 9.26 3.781
Ben McLemore SG SAC 4600 33.3 27.73 18.38 9.03 3.996
Ian Mahinmi C IND 3800 23.7 27.98 18.29 8.60 4.813
John Henson PF MIL 4900 19.7 30.41 18.25 6.10 3.725
Kelly Olynyk C BOS 4500 20.3 28.74 18.13 7.51 4.028
Andre Miller PG SAC 4000 24.0 29.51 18.10 6.69 4.525
Harrison Barnes SF GS 4100 26.3 24.39 17.99 11.59 4.387
Drew Gooden PF WAS 3600 24.3 34.27 17.73 1.20 4.925
Andre Iguodala SF GS 4900 26.7 26.31 17.63 8.95 3.599
Tyler Zeller C BOS 4700 19.0 25.36 17.63 9.91 3.752
Jodie Meeks SG DET 3900 25.7 26.83 17.59 8.35 4.510
Paul Pierce SF WAS 4500 22.0 25.72 17.44 9.15 3.875
Trey Burke PG UTA 5400 23.3 25.76 17.29 8.82 3.203
Solomon Hill SF IND 4000 27.3 25.10 16.82 8.54 4.204
C.J. Watson PG IND 4400 22.7 25.02 16.80 8.57 3.817
Jerryd Bayless PG MIL 4100 23.0 27.16 16.68 6.19 4.067
Jae Crowder SF BOS 5000 25.7 30.73 16.64 2.55 3.328
Dante Exum PG UTA 3600 33.0 29.26 16.24 3.22 4.510
Rodney Hood SF UTA 3900 26.0 26.15 16.05 5.95 4.116
Joe Ingles SF UTA 3700 28.0 27.67 15.78 3.89 4.265
Beno Udrih PG MEM 3600 20.0 25.00 15.52 6.04 4.310
Derrick Williams PF SAC 3500 24.3 26.72 15.26 3.80 4.360
Hollis Thompson SF PHI 3900 25.7 25.03 15.25 5.47 3.910
Jason Smith PF NY 4100 21.0 23.76 14.91 6.06 3.636
Thomas Robinson PF PHI 4400 18.7 26.85 14.76 2.66 3.354
Courtney Lee SG MEM 3800 25.7 22.59 14.74 6.89 3.879
Markel Brown SG BKN 3500 23.7 32.37 14.62 0.00 4.176
Cleanthony Early SF NY 3600 23.7 25.10 14.56 4.01 4.044
Trevor Booker PF UTA 3500 18.7 24.20 14.52 4.83 4.148
Luigi Datome SF BOS 3500 12.7 25.83 14.01 2.19 4.002
Shane Larkin PG NY 3500 23.0 22.35 13.86 5.37 3.959
Mason Plumlee C BKN 4400 14.7 20.19 13.77 7.35 3.130
Kosta Koufos C MEM 3500 17.0 22.06 13.67 5.28 3.905
Leandro Barbosa SG GS 3500 17.3 24.24 13.63 3.03 3.895
Jonas Jerebko PF BOS 3700 18.0 22.65 13.39 4.13 3.619
Otto Porter SF WAS 3700 21.0 21.74 13.30 4.86 3.595
Cory Jefferson PF BKN 3500 17.0 24.75 13.22 1.70 3.778
Omri Casspi SF SAC 3600 18.0 21.32 13.06 4.80 3.628
Spencer Dinwiddie SG DET 3500 17.3 24.60 13.01 1.41 3.717
Kenyon Martin PF MIL 3600 19.3 22.08 12.88 3.69 3.578
Tayshaun Prince SF DET 3800 22.3 20.21 12.81 5.40 3.370
Ramon Sessions PG WAS 3500 20.7 22.01 12.81 3.60 3.659
Henry Sims C PHI 3500 15.0 19.23 12.71 6.18 3.630
Nick Calathes PG MEM 3500 15.0 21.63 12.51 3.40 3.575
Jerami Grant PF PHI 3500 18.0 19.64 12.37 5.11 3.535
Phil (Flip) Pressey PG BOS 3500 15.3 24.04 12.29 0.54 3.511
Samuel Dalembert C NY 3700 15.0 18.68 12.25 5.81 3.310
Lavoy Allen C IND 3500 14.3 20.84 12.14 3.43 3.467
Jakarr Sampson PF PHI 3500 18.0 27.99 11.87 0.00 3.393
Carl Landry PF SAC 3500 15.7 20.86 11.76 2.67 3.361
Bojan Bogdanovic SF BKN 3500 21.3 20.50 11.64 2.78 3.326
Jared Dudley SF MIL 4100 18.3 18.96 11.56 4.16 2.820
Lance Thomas SF NY 3500 21.7 20.27 11.46 2.65 3.274
Rasual Butler SF WAS 3500 17.0 20.07 10.99 1.91 3.139
Jason Thompson PF SAC 4100 16.7 17.70 10.77 3.85 2.627
James Michael McAdoo PF GS 3500 10.0 19.29 10.74 2.19 3.070
Festus Ezeli C GS 3500 12.0 17.91 10.67 3.44 3.049
Quincy Acy SF NY 3500 16.0 20.29 10.62 0.95 3.034
Justin Holiday SF GS 3500 14.3 20.44 10.47 0.49 2.991
Ryan Hollins C SAC 3500 15.3 29.56 10.35 0.00 2.957
Jordan Adams SG MEM 3500 15.0 21.00 9.77 0.00 2.793
Tyler Ennis PG MIL 3500 11.7 17.22 9.53 1.85 2.724
Alan Anderson SG BKN 3700 17.7 16.59 9.49 2.38 2.564
Kevin Seraphin PF WAS 3600 11.7 14.46 9.37 4.28 2.602
Jon Leuer PF MEM 3500 12.0 15.53 9.21 2.90 2.632
Anthony Tolliver PF DET 3500 17.0 17.46 9.18 0.89 2.621
JaMychal Green SF MEM 3500 13.3 19.63 9.17 0.00 2.621
Elijah Millsap SG UTA 3500 15.3 14.57 9.00 3.43 2.571
Marreese Speights PF GS 3700 8.3 15.16 8.98 2.81 2.428
Larry Drew II PG PHI 3500 16.3 14.60 8.84 3.08 2.525
Jorge Gutierrez PG MIL 3500 11.3 17.11 8.73 0.35 2.495
Caron Butler SF DET 3500 16.3 14.62 8.56 2.51 2.447
Furkan Aldemir PF PHI 3500 11.0 18.37 8.46 0.00 2.416
Louis Amundson PF NY 4300 16.7 18.31 8.33 0.00 1.938
Jarnell Stokes PF MEM 3500 9.3 19.17 8.01 0.00 2.289
Damjan Rudez SF IND 3600 18.3 15.00 7.88 0.75 2.188
JaVale McGee C PHI 3500 8.3 15.34 7.56 0.00 2.161
Vince Carter SF MEM 3500 10.7 11.83 7.43 3.03 2.124
Travis Wear PF NY 3500 12.0 13.40 7.14 0.87 2.039
Malcolm Thomas PF PHI 3500 11.7 13.36 7.08 0.80 2.022
John Lucas PG DET 3500 8.7 11.38 7.01 2.64 2.002
Reggie Evans PF SAC 3500 9.0 10.44 6.70 2.96 1.913
Nik Stauskas SG SAC 3500 12.7 11.61 5.86 0.10 1.674
Shayne Whittington C IND 3500 5.7 11.78 5.76 0.00 1.646
Gerald Wallace SF BOS 3500 11.7 10.62 5.18 0.00 1.481
Miles Plumlee C MIL 3500 7.0 8.30 5.14 1.97 1.467
Darius Morris PG BKN 3500 8.3 13.49 5.11 0.00 1.459
Brandon Rush SG GS 3500 11.3 10.33 4.92 0.00 1.406
Jerome Jordan C BKN 3500 6.0 8.07 4.89 1.72 1.399
Shawne Williams SF DET 3500 7.7 8.18 4.69 1.21 1.341
Shavlik Randolph PF BOS 3500 7.0 10.13 4.35 0.00 1.242
James Young SF BOS 3500 7.3 8.19 4.22 0.25 1.206
Quincy Miller SF DET 3500 4.7 8.81 3.89 0.00 1.113
Patrick Christopher SG UTA 3500 7.7 8.30 3.75 0.00 1.073
DeJuan Blair C WAS 3500 5.3 9.16 3.57 0.00 1.021
Tyrus Thomas PF MEM 3500 4.3 6.98 3.40 0.00 0.973
Cartier Martin SF DET 3500 9.0 9.56 3.39 0.00 0.969
Chris Copeland SF IND 3500 5.3 6.49 3.24 0.00 0.925
Drew Gordon SF PHI 3500 6.3 6.25 3.18 0.10 0.907
Jeremy Evans SF UTA 3500 3.3 6.57 2.94 0.00 0.841
Jared Cunningham SG PHI 3500 4.0 7.31 2.69 0.00 0.768
Martell Webster SF WAS 3500 5.7 5.51 2.66 0.00 0.761
Ronny Turiaf C PHI 3500 12.0 3.73 2.65 1.57 0.758
Glenn Robinson III SF PHI 3500 4.7 6.46 2.30 0.00 0.658
Grant Jerrett PF UTA 3500 3.7 4.15 2.24 0.34 0.641
Joel Anthony C DET 3500 3.0 4.69 2.19 0.00 0.627
Kalin Lucas PG MEM 3500 6.0 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.571
Johnny O'Bryant C MIL 3500 3.7 4.07 1.99 0.00 0.567
Andre Dawkins SG BOS 3500 6.7 5.46 1.79 0.00 0.511
Alex Kirk C NY 3500 3.7 4.19 1.75 0.00 0.501
Ognjen Kuzmic C GS 3500 2.3 3.70 1.63 0.00 0.467
Andrei Kirilenko SF PHI 3500 3.3 3.17 1.40 0.00 0.399
Russ Smith PG MEM 3500 7.3 10.89 1.16 0.00 0.332
Ian Clark SG UTA 3500 2.0 2.75 1.05 0.00 0.300
Chris Douglas-Roberts SF BOS 3500 2.0 1.91 0.80 0.00 0.230
Toure' Murry PG WAS 3500 11.3 8.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
Darren Collison PG SAC 6300 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Donald Sloan PG IND 3500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Garrett Temple PG WAS 3500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Isaiah Thomas PG BOS 7300 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Jose Calderon PG NY 4700 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Kris Humphries PF WAS 4100 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Malcolm Lee SG PHI 3500 10.7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Mike Conley PG MEM 6300 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Sergey Karasev SG BKN 3500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000


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