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NBA FanDuel Projection Guide - March 17, 2015


As we enter the last stretch of the 2014-15 NBA season, the daily fantasy landscape has become filled with players on reduced minutes, game-time decisions for rest, and blowout risk. This makes it vital for DFS players to be extra vigilant in their research of players. Not only do you need to be accurate in your projections but need to be watchful of those players likely to be last minute scratches or likely to be on minutes restrictions.

Before we jump into the FanDuel projections and value plays for March 17, we just wanted to point out two new tools we recently added to the site.

The first is the NBA Daily Value Tracker which gives a complete breakdown of each NBA player from value perspective - for those who don't know, value is a measure of the relationship between the fantasy production of the player and their fantasy cost.

The second tools is the Defense vs. Position Report which details the daily fantasy production of each position against a team's defense - for example, this will allow you to get an understanding of how Centers do against the Miami Heat (14th best defense).

Not too sure where to start in building your lineup? One key strategy to building a winning lineup is to target a couple of key studs like James Harden or Russell Westbrook who can put up those 50+ FanDuel point nights and then fill your lineup with some value players (noted by the value column - look for guys with a value of 4.5+ as they come at a relatively low cost to their projected points).

Below is a look, based on our internal projections, of how players in today's games are set to perform tonight and where you can find some value. We will be updating through the day as lineups take shape but make sure to keep an eye on injury and lineup reports!

FanDuel is hosting their $250,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $20,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel! Use the following projections to build a winning lineup!

Projections for March 17

Before we jump into the projections, here is a quick guide for those who are new to daily fantasy. Exp. Min - is simply the minutes the player is expected to play in tonights game. Ceiling - is the high end projection of the players FanDuel points. Projection - is the production we are expecting from the player tonight. Floor - is the low end production we are expecting from the player. Value - is a measure of the relative value of the player when comparing their projection to their salary, it is calculated as: Projection/(Salary/1000).

Here are our projections:

Player Pos Team Salary Exp Min Ceiling Projection Floor Value
Anthony Davis PF NO 12300 39.7 69.50 52.30 35.11 4.252
James Harden SG HOU 10800 37.7 63.70 46.92 30.14 4.345
Chris Paul PG LAC 10200 35.7 55.00 41.57 28.14 4.076
Blake Griffin PF LAC 9300 34.7 53.07 38.87 24.67 4.180
Nikola Vucevic C ORL 8400 36.3 51.86 38.78 25.70 4.617
Tim Duncan PF SA 7500 33.3 50.21 37.91 25.61 5.055
Kawhi Leonard SF SA 8500 36.0 50.12 37.06 23.99 4.360
DeAndre Jordan C LAC 9300 36.3 51.89 36.79 21.69 3.956
Zach Randolph PF MEM 7800 35.7 48.26 36.12 23.98 4.631
Marc Gasol C MEM 7600 33.7 45.37 35.62 25.88 4.687
Michael Carter-Williams PG MIL 8100 35.3 47.67 34.36 21.06 4.242
Tobias Harris SF ORL 6700 41.0 47.39 34.10 20.82 5.090
Tyreke Evans PG NO 8400 35.3 45.89 33.86 21.83 4.031
Khris Middleton SF MIL 6800 41.3 49.32 33.57 17.82 4.937
Victor Oladipo SG ORL 7700 38.7 44.73 32.43 20.14 4.212
Andre Drummond C DET 8300 26.3 40.82 29.60 18.38 3.566
Giannis Antetokounmpo SG MIL 6800 34.7 41.02 29.42 17.82 4.326
Terrence Jones PF HOU 6700 30.7 40.86 29.32 17.77 4.375
Tony Parker PG SA 6500 35.0 44.06 28.63 13.19 4.404
Mike Conley PG MEM 6300 31.7 42.15 28.61 15.07 4.541
Elfrid Payton PG ORL 6600 35.7 41.67 28.46 15.24 4.311
Alexey Shved PG NY 6000 28.7 53.09 27.80 2.52 4.634
Al Jefferson C CHA 8200 25.7 37.12 27.42 17.72 3.344
Andrea Bargnani PF NY 5400 32.7 42.61 27.37 12.13 5.068
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist SF CHA 6300 33.0 38.94 27.11 15.28 4.303
Mo Williams PG CHA 7100 31.3 38.51 26.81 15.11 3.776
Trevor Ariza SF HOU 5700 36.0 34.78 25.27 15.77 4.434
Donatas Motiejunas PF HOU 5000 32.0 36.05 25.11 14.16 5.021
Reggie Jackson PG DET 6200 29.0 36.46 25.02 13.58 4.036
Zaza Pachulia C MIL 5200 28.3 37.82 24.01 10.20 4.617
J.J. Redick SG LAC 6400 35.7 35.57 23.75 11.92 3.711
Ersan Ilyasova PF MIL 4700 28.0 38.00 23.64 9.27 5.029
Eric Gordon SG NO 6100 34.3 34.80 23.42 12.04 3.840
Tony Allen SG MEM 4600 31.3 33.82 23.34 12.86 5.073
Matt Barnes SF LAC 5200 35.7 33.49 22.68 11.88 4.362
Omer Asik C NO 5200 26.0 30.82 21.57 12.33 4.149
Kemba Walker PG CHA 7600 23.0 29.84 21.39 12.94 2.815
Patrick Beverley PG HOU 4500 30.0 29.85 21.25 12.66 4.723
Gerald Henderson SF CHA 5700 30.0 32.22 21.19 10.17 3.718
Danny Green SG SA 5500 25.7 31.39 20.99 10.60 3.817
Beno Udrih PG MEM 3700 27.0 33.43 20.84 8.24 5.631
Marvin Williams PF CHA 4300 31.3 30.76 20.09 9.42 4.671
Corey Brewer SF HOU 4600 24.7 31.05 19.84 8.62 4.312
Tiago Splitter C SA 3900 23.0 27.83 19.83 11.82 5.083
Langston Galloway PG NY 4800 27.0 27.89 19.58 11.28 4.080
Nick Calathes PG MEM 3500 23.0 32.99 19.30 5.60 5.513
Jodie Meeks SG DET 4100 27.3 28.64 18.84 9.05 4.596
Cole Aldrich C NY 4400 19.3 29.08 18.79 8.49 4.270
Bismack Biyombo C CHA 4200 23.0 33.86 18.75 3.64 4.464
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG DET 4600 30.0 28.36 18.50 8.65 4.022
Alexis Ajinca C NO 4900 17.7 29.58 18.02 6.47 3.678
Tyler Ennis PG MIL 3800 21.7 31.65 17.71 3.76 4.660
Lance Stephenson SG CHA 4300 23.7 24.72 17.65 10.59 4.105
Norris Cole PG NO 4100 28.0 27.08 17.42 7.76 4.248
Jeff Green SF MEM 5000 22.0 24.03 17.16 10.30 3.433
Dewayne Dedmon C ORL 3800 21.0 27.81 17.03 6.26 4.483
Josh Smith PF HOU 5500 16.7 23.17 16.84 10.52 3.062
Jerryd Bayless PG MIL 4100 23.0 27.16 16.68 6.19 4.067
Courtney Lee SG MEM 3800 28.7 25.09 16.45 7.80 4.328
Boris Diaw PF SA 3700 22.0 23.85 15.86 7.87 4.287
John Henson PF MIL 4400 17.0 26.09 15.66 5.23 3.559
Dante Cunningham PF NO 4100 30.0 23.85 15.17 6.48 3.699
Kosta Koufos C MEM 3500 18.7 24.08 15.01 5.94 4.288
Marco Belinelli SG SA 3500 21.3 21.46 14.00 6.55 4.000
Spencer Hawes C LAC 3800 17.7 23.18 13.88 4.58 3.652
Spencer Dinwiddie SG DET 3700 17.7 25.65 13.75 1.85 3.716
Glen Davis PF LAC 3600 18.3 24.16 13.58 2.99 3.771
Jason Smith PF NY 3900 19.0 21.42 13.49 5.57 3.460
Tayshaun Prince SF DET 3800 23.3 21.18 13.38 5.57 3.521
Kenyon Martin PF MIL 3600 19.3 22.08 12.88 3.69 3.578
Tim Hardaway Jr. SG NY 4300 17.7 22.69 12.35 2.02 2.872
Samuel Dalembert C NY 3700 15.0 18.68 12.25 5.81 3.310
Quincy Acy SF NY 3500 18.3 23.22 12.22 1.22 3.490
Quincy Pondexter SF NO 3900 25.7 20.39 12.15 3.91 3.115
Jason Maxiell C CHA 3700 18.7 23.49 12.04 0.58 3.253
Lance Thomas SF NY 3700 22.7 21.20 11.99 2.77 3.240
Austin Rivers SG LAC 3600 19.3 20.35 11.80 3.24 3.277
Aaron Gordon PF ORL 3500 17.0 18.91 11.44 3.97 3.269
Cleanthony Early SF NY 3500 19.0 20.26 11.34 2.42 3.240
Shane Larkin PG NY 3600 18.7 18.14 11.22 4.30 3.117
Willie Green SG ORL 3500 19.7 18.12 10.80 3.48 3.086
Vince Carter SF MEM 3500 15.0 16.45 10.33 4.21 2.952
P.J. Hairston SG CHA 3500 15.7 18.67 10.30 1.94 2.943
Anthony Tolliver PF DET 3600 19.0 19.46 10.25 1.05 2.848
Luke Ridnour PG ORL 3600 16.0 18.44 10.21 1.98 2.837
Patrick Mills PG SA 3500 13.7 16.29 10.20 4.12 2.916
Travis Wear PF NY 3500 16.7 19.14 10.16 1.19 2.904
Jason Terry SG HOU 3500 16.0 15.98 9.90 3.83 2.830
Channing Frye PF ORL 3500 16.3 15.73 9.80 3.87 2.799
Jordan Adams SG MEM 3500 15.0 21.00 9.77 0.00 2.793
Nate Robinson PG LAC 4800 12.0 16.09 9.45 2.81 1.969
Brian Roberts PG CHA 3700 15.0 15.44 9.44 3.43 2.550
Maurice Harkless SF ORL 3500 16.3 16.62 9.40 2.17 2.685
Jon Leuer PF MEM 3500 12.0 15.53 9.21 2.90 2.632
Elliot Williams SG NO 3500 14.0 23.69 9.20 0.00 2.629
Francisco Garcia SF HOU 3500 17.3 15.39 9.18 2.96 2.622
JaMychal Green SF MEM 3500 13.3 19.77 9.17 0.00 2.621
Caron Butler SF DET 3500 17.3 15.46 9.04 2.62 2.583
Jorge Gutierrez PG MIL 3500 11.3 17.11 8.73 0.35 2.495
Louis Amundson PF NY 4200 17.0 18.52 8.50 0.00 2.024
Jarnell Stokes PF MEM 3800 9.3 19.17 8.01 0.00 2.109
Roy Devyn Marble SG ORL 3500 13.7 17.00 7.41 0.00 2.116
Gal Mekel PG NO 3500 11.0 12.28 7.34 2.41 2.098
Cory Joseph PG SA 3700 9.3 11.09 7.03 2.97 1.899
John Lucas PG DET 3500 8.7 11.38 7.01 2.64 2.002
Joel Anthony C DET 3600 9.3 14.61 6.94 0.00 1.928
Kyle O'Quinn PF ORL 3500 7.7 10.67 6.66 2.64 1.902
Pablo Prigioni PG HOU 3500 10.3 11.66 6.65 1.65 1.901
Miles Plumlee C MIL 3500 9.0 10.65 6.60 2.55 1.886
Joey Dorsey C HOU 3500 8.7 13.22 6.60 0.00 1.885
Andrew Nicholson PF ORL 3500 9.0 12.70 6.05 0.00 1.728
Ben Gordon SG ORL 3500 10.0 10.58 5.96 1.34 1.703
Luke Babbitt SF NO 3500 9.7 11.13 5.34 0.00 1.526
Matt Bonner C SA 3500 9.0 9.74 5.03 0.32 1.438
Hedo Turkoglu SF LAC 3500 8.3 9.46 4.89 0.33 1.398
Shawne Williams SF DET 3500 7.7 8.18 4.69 1.21 1.341
Jeff Ayres PF SA 3500 6.0 8.77 4.53 0.29 1.295
Jannero Pargo PG CHA 3500 6.0 8.45 4.41 0.36 1.259
Jeffery Taylor SF CHA 3500 6.7 9.75 4.26 0.00 1.217
Jeff Withey C NO 3500 5.0 8.50 4.20 0.00 1.199
Jimmer Fredette PG NO 3500 6.7 8.32 4.18 0.04 1.195
Quincy Miller SF DET 3500 4.7 8.81 3.89 0.00 1.113
Nick Johnson SG HOU 3500 7.0 10.12 3.78 0.00 1.081
Tyrus Thomas PF MEM 3500 4.3 6.98 3.40 0.00 0.973
Cartier Martin SF DET 3500 9.0 9.56 3.39 0.00 0.969
Johnny O'Bryant C MIL 3500 6.3 6.91 3.35 0.00 0.956
Noah Vonleh PF CHA 3500 4.0 5.75 3.27 0.78 0.934
Reggie Williams SG SA 3500 4.0 4.59 2.59 0.58 0.739
Troy Daniels PG CHA 3500 5.0 6.40 2.51 0.00 0.717
Ekpe Udoh C LAC 3500 3.3 6.19 2.39 0.00 0.682
K.J. McDaniels SF HOU 3500 3.0 3.36 2.13 0.89 0.608
Kalin Lucas PG MEM 3500 6.0 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.571
Clint Capela PF HOU 3500 3.0 4.46 1.82 0.00 0.519
Alex Kirk C NY 3500 3.7 4.19 1.75 0.00 0.501
Nate Wolters PG NO 3500 3.7 3.43 1.71 0.00 0.488
Darius Miller SG NO 3500 7.7 4.38 1.28 0.00 0.367
C.J. Wilcox SG LAC 3500 2.0 3.20 1.18 0.00 0.337
Kyle Anderson SF SA 3500 1.7 2.37 1.10 0.00 0.314
Russ Smith PG MEM 3500 6.7 9.45 1.06 0.00 0.302
Dahntay Jones SG LAC 3500 1.7 2.41 0.63 0.00 0.179
Aron Baynes C SA 3500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Cody Zeller PF CHA 4700 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Dwight Howard C HOU 7900 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Evan Fournier SG ORL 4000 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Greg Monroe PF DET 8300 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Jamal Crawford SG LAC 5500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Jared Dudley SF MIL 3800 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Jose Calderon PG NY 4700 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Jrue Holiday PG NO 8000 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Kostas Papanikolaou SF HOU 3500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Manu Ginobili SG SA 4400 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
O.J. Mayo SG MIL 4500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Ryan Anderson PF NO 5300 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000


FanDuel
 is hosting their $250,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $20,000! Entry fee is just $25!

 



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