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NBA FanDuel Projection Guide - March 19, 2015


As we enter the last stretch of the 2014-15 NBA season, the daily fantasy landscape has become filled with players on reduced minutes, game-time decisions for rest, and blowout risk. This makes it vital for DFS players to be extra vigilant in their research of players. Not only do you need to be accurate in your projections but need to be watchful of those players likely to be last minute scratches or likely to be on minutes restrictions.

Before we jump into the FanDuel projections and value plays for March 19, we just wanted to point out two new tools we recently added to the site.

The first is the NBA Daily Value Tracker which gives a complete breakdown of each NBA player from value perspective - for those who don't know, value is a measure of the relationship between the fantasy production of the player and their fantasy cost.

The second tools is the Defense vs. Position Report which details the daily fantasy production of each position against a team's defense - for example, this will allow you to get an understanding of how Centers do against the Miami Heat (14th best defense).

Not too sure where to start in building your lineup? One key strategy to building a winning lineup is to target a couple of key studs like James Harden or Russell Westbrook who can put up those 50+ FanDuel point nights and then fill your lineup with some value players (noted by the value column - look for guys with a value of 4.5+ as they come at a relatively low cost to their projected points).

Below is a look, based on our internal projections, of how players in today's games are set to perform tonight and where you can find some value. We will be updating through the day as lineups take shape but make sure to keep an eye on injury and lineup reports!

FanDuel is hosting their $200,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $20,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel! Use the following projections to build a winning lineup!

Projections for March 19

Before we jump into the projections, here is a quick guide for those who are new to daily fantasy. Exp. Min - is simply the minutes the player is expected to play in tonights game. Ceiling - is the high end projection of the players FanDuel points. Projection - is the production we are expecting from the player tonight. Floor - is the low end production we are expecting from the player. Value - is a measure of the relative value of the player when comparing their projection to their salary, it is calculated as: Projection/(Salary/1000).

Here are our projections:

Player Pos Team Salary Exp Min Ceiling Projection Floor Value
Anthony Davis PF NO 12400 40.00 69.84 52.56 35.28 4.239
James Harden SG HOU 10600 36.67 61.84 45.56 29.28 4.298
Rudy Gobert C UTA 8200 35.33 50.48 36.01 21.54 4.392
Eric Bledsoe SG PHO 8500 35.33 49.81 34.86 19.92 4.102
Tyreke Evans PG NO 8300 35.67 46.15 34.11 22.07 4.110
Derrick Favors PF UTA 7700 32.67 45.59 33.19 20.80 4.311
Ty Lawson PG DEN 7500 33.33 42.34 32.19 22.04 4.292
Gorgui Dieng C MIN 6400 36.33 45.67 32.15 18.63 5.023
Kenneth Faried PF DEN 6900 32.67 45.18 30.63 16.07 4.439
Gordon Hayward SF UTA 7600 32.67 42.62 30.56 18.51 4.022
Kevin Martin SG MIN 6100 36.00 45.56 30.39 15.21 4.982
Markieff Morris PF PHO 6900 34.00 41.54 29.70 17.87 4.305
Brandan Wright C PHO 5200 30.00 42.65 29.11 15.56 5.598
Brandon Knight PG PHO 6700 30.00 40.35 28.96 17.58 4.323
Alexey Shved PG NY 7000 29.67 54.67 28.77 2.87 4.110
Andrea Bargnani PF NY 5900 32.00 42.28 27.35 12.42 4.636
Marcus Morris PF PHO 5200 35.00 39.48 27.04 14.59 5.199
Terrence Jones PF HOU 6700 28.67 38.14 26.75 15.35 3.992
Ricky Rubio PG MIN 7500 26.67 34.82 26.34 17.86 3.512
P.J. Tucker SF PHO 5300 37.33 39.07 26.13 13.20 4.930
Donatas Motiejunas PF HOU 5500 33.00 37.54 26.11 14.67 4.747
Danilo Gallinari SF DEN 6400 33.33 40.13 26.08 12.03 4.076
Andrew Wiggins SF MIN 6100 35.67 36.53 25.40 14.28 4.165
Langston Galloway PG NY 5000 34.33 35.23 24.83 14.42 4.965
Jordan Hill C LAL 6200 27.00 32.91 24.81 16.71 4.001
Eric Gordon SG NO 6000 36.00 36.34 24.57 12.79 4.094
Wilson Chandler SF DEN 5700 31.67 33.75 24.06 14.37 4.222
Trevor Ariza SF HOU 5800 34.00 33.09 24.01 14.93 4.140
Jameer Nelson PG DEN 5500 36.67 39.16 23.87 8.57 4.339
Omer Asik C NO 5500 26.67 32.03 22.35 12.67 4.063
Jordan Clarkson PG LAL 5900 28.00 36.12 22.21 8.31 3.765
Carlos Boozer PF LAL 5300 23.33 32.01 21.79 11.57 4.112
Zach LaVine PG MIN 4200 31.00 38.69 21.48 4.28 5.115
Patrick Beverley PG HOU 4600 30.00 29.84 21.29 12.74 4.629
Wesley Johnson SF LAL 4000 32.67 31.35 20.81 10.28 5.203
J.J. Hickson PF DEN 4100 23.33 30.67 20.66 10.65 5.038
Corey Brewer SF HOU 5400 25.67 32.30 20.64 8.97 3.822
Ed Davis PF LAL 6000 21.67 30.53 20.32 10.12 3.387
Josh Smith PF HOU 5500 19.67 27.28 19.87 12.47 3.613
Kevin Garnett PF MIN 4000 21.33 27.21 19.82 12.43 4.955
Alex Len C PHO 4400 23.67 30.12 19.40 8.68 4.409
Justin Hamilton C MIN 5600 34.67 56.90 19.14 0.00 3.419
Randy Foye SG DEN 4600 29.00 34.36 19.09 3.82 4.150
Will Barton SG DEN 6000 30.00 37.12 19.03 0.94 3.172
Cole Aldrich C NY 4400 19.00 28.47 18.46 8.46 4.196
Jeremy Lin PG LAL 5200 21.33 27.70 18.32 8.94 3.523
Rodney Hood SF UTA 4600 28.00 30.45 18.18 5.92 3.953
Jusuf Nurkic C DEN 4800 17.00 26.29 17.95 9.62 3.740
Wayne Ellington SG LAL 5100 27.33 28.14 17.80 7.47 3.491
Chase Budinger SF MIN 3700 28.00 30.49 17.64 4.79 4.767
Alexis Ajinca C NO 4700 17.33 28.83 17.52 6.21 3.727
Nikola Pekovic C MIN 5800 19.33 24.07 17.25 10.44 2.975
Trey Burke PG UTA 4900 22.33 24.77 16.66 8.56 3.400
Norris Cole PG NO 4000 26.67 25.71 16.59 7.47 4.147
Archie Goodwin PG PHO 3700 19.00 34.14 15.84 0.00 4.282
Tarik Black PF LAL 3700 21.33 23.90 14.46 5.02 3.908
Trevor Booker PF UTA 3500 18.67 23.99 14.39 4.79 4.112
Lance Thomas SF NY 3600 27.00 25.22 14.28 3.35 3.967
Jason Smith PF NY 4000 19.33 21.78 13.78 5.77 3.444
Adreian Payne PF MIN 4300 22.00 23.63 13.66 3.70 3.177
Gary Neal SG MIN 4000 20.33 21.97 13.65 5.32 3.411
Dante Cunningham PF NO 4100 27.00 21.36 13.62 5.89 3.323
Quincy Pondexter SF NO 4100 28.67 22.81 13.57 4.32 3.310
Jeff Adrien PF MIN 3500 14.67 20.70 13.09 5.48 3.740
Lorenzo Brown PG MIN 3600 18.00 35.52 13.02 0.00 3.618
Dante Exum PG UTA 3600 26.33 23.24 12.85 2.47 3.571
Shane Larkin PG NY 3600 21.33 20.67 12.83 4.99 3.563
Travis Wear PF NY 3500 20.67 23.55 12.54 1.53 3.583
Robert Sacre C LAL 3600 18.00 19.79 12.47 5.16 3.465
Darrell Arthur PF DEN 3500 15.67 19.75 12.47 5.18 3.562
Tim Hardaway Jr. SG NY 4300 17.67 22.69 12.35 2.02 2.872
Samuel Dalembert C NY 3700 15.00 18.68 12.25 5.81 3.310
Quincy Acy SF NY 3500 18.33 23.22 12.22 1.22 3.490
Gerald Green SF PHO 3500 14.33 20.90 12.15 3.40 3.472
Joe Ingles SF UTA 3500 20.67 20.22 11.60 2.99 3.315
Cleanthony Early SF NY 3500 19.00 20.26 11.34 2.42 3.240
Ronnie Price PG LAL 3700 17.33 19.28 11.32 3.36 3.059
T.J. Warren SF PHO 3700 15.67 20.46 10.94 1.42 2.957
Louis Amundson PF NY 4500 20.67 22.49 10.33 0.00 2.296
Marcus Thornton SG PHO 3500 12.33 16.62 10.03 3.45 2.866
Elijah Millsap SG UTA 3500 16.33 15.14 9.48 3.82 2.709
Francisco Garcia SF HOU 3500 17.33 15.39 9.18 2.96 2.622
Ryan Kelly PF LAL 3500 17.33 16.40 8.96 1.53 2.560
Elliot Williams SG NO 3500 12.33 20.61 8.10 0.00 2.316
Gal Mekel PG NO 3500 11.00 12.28 7.34 2.41 2.098
Gary Harris SG DEN 3500 13.33 14.07 6.83 0.00 1.951
Pablo Prigioni PG HOU 3500 10.00 11.30 6.44 1.58 1.840
Joey Dorsey C HOU 3500 8.33 12.75 6.39 0.03 1.826
Erick Green SG DEN 3500 9.33 11.02 5.68 0.33 1.622
Luke Babbitt SF NO 3500 9.67 11.13 5.34 0.00 1.526
Jeff Withey C NO 3500 5.00 8.50 4.20 0.00 1.199
Jimmer Fredette PG NO 3500 6.67 8.32 4.18 0.04 1.195
Patrick Christopher SG UTA 3500 7.67 8.30 3.75 0.00 1.073
Xavier Henry SG LAL 3500 9.33 7.47 3.51 0.00 1.002
John Salmons SF PHO 3500 8.67 7.06 3.46 0.00 0.988
Jeremy Evans SF UTA 3500 3.67 7.16 3.24 0.00 0.926
Reggie Bullock SF PHO 3500 6.00 7.23 3.15 0.00 0.900
Grant Jerrett PF UTA 3500 3.67 4.15 2.24 0.34 0.641
Miroslav Raduljica C MIN 3500 3.00 4.49 1.83 0.00 0.522
Clint Capela PF HOU 3500 3.00 4.46 1.82 0.00 0.519
Alex Kirk C NY 3500 3.67 4.19 1.75 0.00 0.501
Nate Wolters PG NO 3500 3.67 3.43 1.71 0.00 0.488
K.J. McDaniels SF HOU 3500 2.33 2.64 1.65 0.67 0.473
Nick Johnson SG HOU 3500 2.67 3.86 1.43 0.00 0.410
Victor Claver SF DEN 3500 2.00 3.67 1.30 0.00 0.372
Darius Miller SG NO 3500 7.67 4.38 1.28 0.00 0.367
Ian Clark SG UTA 3500 2.00 2.75 1.05 0.00 0.300
Anthony Bennett PF MIN 3500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Danny Granger SG PHO 3500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Dwight Howard C HOU 7900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Jason Terry SG HOU 3500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Jose Calderon PG NY 4700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Jrue Holiday PG NO 8000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Kostas Papanikolaou SF HOU 3500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Nick Young SG LAL 3900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Robbie Hummel SF MIN 3700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Ryan Anderson PF NO 5300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000


FanDuel
 is hosting their $200,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $20,000! Entry fee is just $25!

 



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