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NBA FanDuel Projection Guide - March 23, 2015


As we enter the last stretch of the 2014-15 NBA season, the daily fantasy landscape has become filled with players on reduced minutes, game-time decisions for rest, and blowout risk. This makes it vital for DFS players to be extra vigilant in their research of players. Not only do you need to be accurate in your projections but need to be watchful of those players likely to be last minute scratches or likely to be on minutes restrictions.

Before we jump into the FanDuel projections and value plays for March 23, we just wanted to point out two new tools we recently added to the site.

The first is the NBA Daily Value Tracker which gives a complete breakdown of each NBA player from value perspective - for those who don't know, value is a measure of the relationship between the fantasy production of the player and their fantasy cost.

The second tools is the Defense vs. Position Report which details the daily fantasy production of each position against a team's defense - for example, this will allow you to get an understanding of how Centers do against the Miami Heat (14th best defense).

Not too sure where to start in building your lineup? One key strategy to building a winning lineup is to target a couple of key studs like James Harden or Russell Westbrook who can put up those 50+ FanDuel point nights and then fill your lineup with some value players (noted by the value column - look for guys with a value of 4.5+ as they come at a relatively low cost to their projected points).

Below is a look, based on our internal projections, of how players in today's games are set to perform tonight and where you can find some value. We will be updating through the day as lineups take shape but make sure to keep an eye on injury and lineup reports!

FanDuel is hosting their $200,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $20,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel! Use the following projections to build a winning lineup!

Projections for March 23

Before we jump into the projections, here is a quick guide for those who are new to daily fantasy. Exp. Min - is simply the minutes the player is expected to play in tonights game. Ceiling - is the high end projection of the players FanDuel points. Projection - is the production we are expecting from the player tonight. Floor - is the low end production we are expecting from the player. Value - is a measure of the relative value of the player when comparing their projection to their salary, it is calculated as: Projection/(Salary/1000).

Here are our projections:

Player Pos Team Salary Exp Min Ceiling Projection Floor Value
James Harden SG HOU 11000 36.0 61.04 44.73 28.43 4.067
John Wall PG WAS 9600 36.3 51.74 39.42 27.11 4.107
Stephen Curry PG GS 9800 29.7 50.26 37.80 25.34 3.857
Al Jefferson C CHA 7900 34.0 48.73 36.14 23.54 4.574
Gorgui Dieng C MIN 6700 40.7 50.94 35.99 21.05 5.372
Derrick Favors PF UTA 7500 35.3 49.27 35.86 22.45 4.781
Rudy Gobert C UTA 7900 35.7 50.62 35.69 20.77 4.518
Brook Lopez C BKN 7600 34.7 50.99 35.18 19.38 4.629
Pau Gasol PF CHI 8800 30.7 45.29 34.80 24.31 3.955
Kevin Martin SG MIN 6400 41.7 52.19 34.69 17.19 5.420
Zach Randolph PF MEM 7800 33.3 44.70 33.45 22.20 4.289
Gordon Hayward SF UTA 8000 34.7 45.35 32.51 19.66 4.064
George Hill PG IND 6400 31.7 44.42 31.84 19.25 4.974
Klay Thompson SG GS 7200 32.0 45.20 31.57 17.94 4.385
Marc Gasol C MEM 7800 29.3 39.66 31.17 22.68 3.996
Alexey Shved PG NY 7200 31.7 57.41 30.71 4.02 4.265
Jimmy Butler SG CHI 8600 33.7 42.10 30.53 18.97 3.550
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist SF CHA 5800 37.0 43.05 29.95 16.85 5.164
Draymond Green SF GS 7500 29.3 40.20 28.72 17.23 3.829
Evan Turner SG BOS 5800 34.0 42.49 28.56 14.64 4.925
Donatas Motiejunas PF HOU 5600 35.7 40.36 28.16 15.96 5.029
Roy Hibbert C IND 5300 31.0 42.87 28.08 13.29 5.298
Mike Conley PG MEM 6100 31.0 41.20 27.99 14.79 4.589
Kemba Walker PG CHA 6900 29.7 38.71 27.85 16.99 4.036
Nikola Mirotic PF CHI 7400 29.0 45.07 27.76 10.45 3.751
Joakim Noah C CHI 7000 30.0 37.19 27.60 18.02 3.943
Mo Williams PG CHA 6700 31.7 39.06 27.09 15.12 4.044
Andrew Wiggins SF MIN 6000 37.7 38.45 26.69 14.94 4.449
Langston Galloway PG NY 5200 37.3 38.53 26.55 14.57 5.106
Ricky Rubio PG MIN 7400 26.7 34.82 26.34 17.86 3.559
Andrea Bargnani PF NY 5800 31.3 40.22 26.26 12.30 4.528
Aaron Brooks PG CHI 5800 32.3 41.76 26.24 10.72 4.524
Brad Beal SG WAS 5800 34.7 37.21 26.14 15.06 4.506
Thaddeus Young PF BKN 6000 32.0 35.97 26.13 16.29 4.355
Jeff Green SF MEM 5000 33.3 36.30 26.00 15.70 5.201
Marcin Gortat C WAS 6600 29.3 35.85 25.73 15.61 3.898
Trevor Ariza SF HOU 5900 35.0 34.53 24.97 15.42 4.232
Joe Johnson SG BKN 5600 33.7 37.93 24.90 11.87 4.446
Josh Smith PF HOU 5400 24.3 33.64 24.59 15.54 4.553
Tony Allen SG MEM 4800 32.7 35.28 24.45 13.62 5.094
Patrick Beverley PG HOU 4700 33.7 33.29 23.85 14.41 5.074
Gerald Henderson SF CHA 5400 33.7 35.87 23.75 11.63 4.398
Jae Crowder SF BOS 5200 36.0 42.78 23.34 3.90 4.488
Corey Brewer SF HOU 5500 28.7 35.95 23.05 10.15 4.191
Brandon Bass PF BOS 5500 28.0 34.51 22.92 11.33 4.167
Avery Bradley SG BOS 6000 33.7 36.15 22.72 9.29 3.787
Jarrett Jack PG BKN 5700 28.7 32.96 22.68 12.40 3.979
Luis Scola PF IND 4800 23.0 31.94 22.03 12.13 4.591
Chase Budinger SF MIN 4200 34.7 37.45 21.85 6.25 5.203
Nene Hilario PF WAS 4700 26.0 32.55 21.71 10.86 4.618
Andrew Bogut C GS 4900 22.3 37.53 21.41 5.30 4.370
Marcus Smart PG BOS 5300 30.0 30.88 21.34 11.80 4.027
C.J. Miles SF IND 4400 28.7 32.96 21.22 9.48 4.823
Bojan Bogdanovic SF BKN 4000 38.0 37.24 21.22 5.20 5.305
Leandro Barbosa SG GS 3700 26.7 37.08 21.20 5.32 5.731
Deron Williams PG BKN 5600 24.7 30.03 20.78 11.53 3.710
Trey Burke PG UTA 5000 27.7 30.64 20.72 10.80 4.144
David West PF IND 5500 22.3 28.17 20.50 12.83 3.727
Zach LaVine PG MIN 5000 29.3 36.54 20.48 4.42 4.095
Mike Dunleavy SF CHI 4400 34.0 34.00 20.17 6.35 4.585
Kelly Olynyk C BOS 4200 22.7 31.90 20.11 8.31 4.787
Marvin Williams PF CHA 4100 31.0 30.32 19.90 9.49 4.855
Tony Snell SG CHI 4100 36.7 36.54 19.87 3.21 4.847
Kevin Garnett PF MIN 4000 21.3 27.21 19.82 12.43 4.955
Paul Pierce SF WAS 4700 25.0 29.27 19.78 10.29 4.208
Tyler Zeller C BOS 4700 21.0 27.87 19.49 11.11 4.147
David Lee PF GS 4500 18.7 26.43 19.38 12.32 4.306
Rodney Stuckey SG IND 6000 23.0 31.24 19.34 7.44 3.223
Justin Hamilton C MIN 5600 34.7 56.90 19.14 0.00 3.419
Mason Plumlee C BKN 4300 20.3 27.58 18.83 10.08 4.379
Solomon Hill SF IND 4100 30.3 28.32 18.81 9.30 4.588
Andre Iguodala SF GS 5000 27.7 28.02 18.64 9.26 3.728
Shane Larkin PG NY 3800 30.3 29.73 18.63 7.53 4.903
Rodney Hood SF UTA 4600 27.7 29.66 17.70 5.75 3.849
Harrison Barnes SF GS 4400 25.3 24.57 17.62 10.67 4.004
Courtney Lee SG MEM 3600 31.0 26.98 17.54 8.10 4.872
Shaun Livingston PG GS 4200 22.3 27.32 17.30 7.28 4.119
Beno Udrih PG MEM 3900 22.3 27.50 17.28 7.06 4.430
Nikola Pekovic C MIN 5800 19.3 24.07 17.25 10.44 2.975
Jonas Jerebko PF BOS 3600 22.3 27.77 16.61 5.46 4.614
Trevor Booker PF UTA 3600 21.0 26.99 16.28 5.57 4.521
Justin Holiday SF GS 4300 21.3 30.18 15.88 1.57 3.692
Nick Calathes PG MEM 3600 19.3 27.30 15.79 4.27 4.385
Cole Aldrich C NY 4400 15.7 23.99 15.52 7.06 3.528
Lance Thomas SF NY 3500 29.3 27.22 15.51 3.81 4.433
Marreese Speights PF GS 3800 14.3 25.77 15.47 5.18 4.072
Drew Gooden PF WAS 3800 20.7 28.61 15.34 2.07 4.038
Lorenzo Brown PG MIN 3700 21.0 39.83 15.01 0.00 4.056
Jason Smith PF NY 3600 21.3 23.79 14.93 6.07 4.147
Ramon Sessions PG WAS 3500 23.7 24.78 14.66 4.55 4.190
Kosta Koufos C MEM 3500 18.0 22.98 14.37 5.76 4.106
Adreian Payne PF MIN 4100 22.7 23.87 14.08 4.29 3.433
Gary Neal SG MIN 4000 20.3 21.91 13.65 5.38 3.411
Kris Humphries PF WAS 4100 15.7 22.20 13.64 5.09 3.328
Jeff Adrien PF MIN 3500 14.7 20.70 13.09 5.48 3.740
Vince Carter SF MEM 3700 18.3 20.31 12.81 5.30 3.462
C.J. Watson PG IND 4300 17.0 19.41 12.70 5.99 2.953
Kirk Hinrich PG CHI 3500 25.3 20.17 12.60 5.04 3.601
Jason Maxiell C CHA 3500 20.0 24.96 12.57 0.18 3.590
Tim Hardaway Jr. SG NY 4300 17.7 22.69 12.35 2.02 2.872
Lance Stephenson SG CHA 3800 16.7 17.49 12.34 7.19 3.248
Samuel Dalembert C NY 3700 15.0 18.68 12.25 5.81 3.310
Cody Zeller PF CHA 4600 15.3 18.82 11.97 5.11 2.601
Phil (Flip) Pressey PG BOS 3500 15.3 23.08 11.88 0.68 3.393
Kevin Seraphin PF WAS 3500 14.7 18.11 11.82 5.52 3.376
Ian Mahinmi C IND 3500 15.7 18.50 11.73 4.97 3.353
Alan Anderson SG BKN 3500 21.3 20.34 11.73 3.12 3.352
Jason Terry SG HOU 3500 18.7 18.54 11.52 4.49 3.290
Cleanthony Early SF NY 3500 19.0 20.26 11.34 2.42 3.240
Bismack Biyombo C CHA 3900 14.0 20.43 11.34 2.24 2.907
Taj Gibson PF CHI 4700 13.0 15.41 10.59 5.77 2.253
Joey Dorsey C HOU 3500 13.7 20.69 10.44 0.19 2.984
Elijah Millsap SG UTA 3500 18.0 16.70 10.33 3.96 2.951
P.J. Hairston SG CHA 3500 15.7 18.67 10.30 1.94 2.943
Travis Wear PF NY 3500 17.0 19.20 10.20 1.20 2.914
Quincy Acy SF NY 3600 14.7 18.41 9.83 1.25 2.731
Joe Ingles SF UTA 3500 17.3 16.87 9.72 2.57 2.776
Cory Jefferson PF BKN 3500 12.3 17.92 9.63 1.34 2.751
Dante Exum PG UTA 3500 20.0 17.57 9.59 1.61 2.741
Markel Brown SG BKN 3500 16.0 21.19 9.58 0.00 2.736
Jordan Adams SG MEM 3500 14.7 20.45 9.49 0.00 2.713
Brian Roberts PG CHA 3500 15.0 15.44 9.44 3.43 2.696
Francisco Garcia SF HOU 3500 17.3 15.39 9.18 2.96 2.622
Louis Amundson PF NY 4300 17.3 18.60 8.67 0.00 2.015
JaMychal Green SF MEM 3500 12.0 17.83 8.26 0.00 2.359
Festus Ezeli C GS 3500 9.3 14.04 8.07 2.09 2.304
Jarnell Stokes PF MEM 3800 9.3 19.17 8.01 0.00 2.109
Rasual Butler SF WAS 3500 11.7 13.83 7.56 1.30 2.161
Pablo Prigioni PG HOU 3500 11.7 13.10 7.51 1.93 2.147
Jon Leuer PF MEM 3500 9.7 12.51 7.38 2.25 2.109
DeJuan Blair C WAS 3500 9.7 16.68 6.91 0.00 1.973
Gerald Wallace SF BOS 3500 13.7 13.70 6.87 0.05 1.963
Shayne Whittington C IND 3500 5.7 11.78 5.76 0.00 1.646
Damjan Rudez SF IND 3500 12.7 10.50 5.42 0.35 1.550
Otto Porter SF WAS 3500 8.7 8.90 5.42 1.93 1.547
James Michael McAdoo PF GS 3500 5.0 9.12 5.36 1.61 1.532
Luigi Datome SF BOS 3500 4.7 9.58 5.16 0.74 1.475
Brandon Rush SG GS 3500 11.3 10.56 5.09 0.00 1.454
Jannero Pargo PG CHA 3500 6.0 8.45 4.41 0.36 1.259
Sergey Karasev SG BKN 3500 7.3 8.61 4.30 0.00 1.228
Jeffery Taylor SF CHA 3500 6.7 9.75 4.26 0.00 1.217
Patrick Christopher SG UTA 3500 7.7 8.30 3.75 0.00 1.073
Martell Webster SF WAS 3500 7.3 8.87 3.66 0.00 1.047
Tyrus Thomas PF MEM 3500 4.3 6.98 3.40 0.00 0.973
Shavlik Randolph PF BOS 3500 5.3 8.91 3.31 0.00 0.946
Noah Vonleh PF CHA 3500 4.0 5.75 3.27 0.78 0.934
Jeremy Evans SF UTA 3500 3.7 7.16 3.24 0.00 0.926
Jerome Jordan C BKN 3500 3.7 4.97 2.95 0.94 0.844
E'Twaun Moore PG CHI 3500 5.0 7.52 2.87 0.00 0.821
James Young SF BOS 3500 4.7 5.23 2.68 0.12 0.765
Darius Morris PG BKN 3500 4.3 6.99 2.59 0.00 0.741
Troy Daniels PG CHA 3500 5.0 6.40 2.51 0.00 0.717
Donald Sloan PG IND 3500 3.0 3.69 2.33 0.98 0.666
Lavoy Allen C IND 3500 2.7 3.85 2.26 0.68 0.646
Grant Jerrett PF UTA 3500 3.7 4.15 2.24 0.34 0.641
Doug McDermott SF CHI 3500 4.3 7.36 2.22 0.00 0.633
Kalin Lucas PG MEM 3500 6.0 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.571
Nazr Mohammed C CHI 3500 3.0 4.51 1.88 0.00 0.537
Miroslav Raduljica C MIN 3500 3.0 4.49 1.83 0.00 0.522
Clint Capela PF HOU 3500 3.0 4.46 1.82 0.00 0.519
Chris Copeland SF IND 3500 3.0 3.67 1.81 0.00 0.517
Andre Dawkins SG BOS 3500 6.7 5.46 1.79 0.00 0.511
Alex Kirk C NY 3500 3.7 4.19 1.75 0.00 0.501
K.J. McDaniels SF HOU 3500 2.3 2.89 1.65 0.42 0.473
Ognjen Kuzmic C GS 3500 2.3 3.70 1.63 0.00 0.467
Ricky Ledo SG NY 3500 5.3 4.76 1.41 0.00 0.402
Nick Johnson SG HOU 3500 2.3 3.57 1.27 0.00 0.363
Russ Smith PG MEM 3500 6.7 9.45 1.06 0.00 0.302
Ian Clark SG UTA 3500 2.0 2.75 1.05 0.00 0.300
Chris Douglas-Roberts SF BOS 3500 2.0 1.91 0.80 0.00 0.230
Cameron Bairstow PF CHI 3500 1.0 1.53 0.41 0.00 0.117
Anthony Bennett PF MIN 3500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Dwight Howard C HOU 7900 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Garrett Temple PG WAS 3500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Isaiah Thomas PG BOS 7300 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Jose Calderon PG NY 4700 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Kostas Papanikolaou SF HOU 3500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Robbie Hummel SF MIN 3700 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Terrence Jones PF HOU 6400 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Toure' Murry PG WAS 3500 4.7 3.01 0.00 0.00 0.000

Optimal Lineup

Based on the above projections, here is the optimal lineup. Note, this can be used as a starting point in building your lineup for tonight's games.

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FanDuel is hosting their $200,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $20,000! Entry fee is just $25!

 



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