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NBA FanDuel Projection Guide - March 30, 2015


It's Slam Monday on FanDuel and you have a chance to take home a cool $25,000! Tonight could be your night. It will take some skill and a bit of luck but everyone who enters the FanDuel $225,000 NBA Slam has a solid shot at the prize. When building your lineup, based on what has been seen in the past, it will take a combination of an elite talent or two hitting 55+ FanDuel points and your value guys bringing in 5x value at a minimum. To win the slam you will need to likely hit somewhere between 350-410 points - which makes it important to look for those guys who have high ceilings with big opportunities to hit big.

First, before we jump into the FanDuel projections and value plays for March 30, we just wanted to point out two new tools we recently added to the site.

The first is the NBA Daily Value Tracker which gives a complete breakdown of each NBA player from value perspective - for those who don't know, value is a measure of the relationship between the fantasy production of the player and their fantasy cost.

The second tools is the Defense vs. Position Report which details the daily fantasy production of each position against a team's defense - for example, this will allow you to get an understanding of how Centers do against the Miami Heat (14th best defense).

Not too sure where to start in building your lineup? One key strategy to building a winning lineup is to target a couple of key studs like James Harden or Russell Westbrook who can put up those 50+ FanDuel point nights and then fill your lineup with some value players (noted by the value column - look for guys with a value of 4.5+ as they come at a relatively low cost to their projected points).

Below is a look, based on our internal projections, of how players in today's games are set to perform tonight and where you can find some value. We will be updating through the day as lineups take shape but make sure to keep an eye on injury and lineup reports!

FanDuel is hosting their $225,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $25,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel! Use the following projections to build a winning lineup!

Projections for March 30

Before we jump into the projections, here is a quick guide for those who are new to daily fantasy. Exp. Min - is simply the minutes the player is expected to play in tonights game. Ceiling - is the high end projection of the players FanDuel points. Projection - is the production we are expecting from the player tonight. Floor - is the low end production we are expecting from the player. Value - is a measure of the relative value of the player when comparing their projection to their salary, it is calculated as: Projection/(Salary/1000).

Here are our projections:

Player Pos Team Salary Exp Min Ceiling Projection Floor Value
James Harden SG HOU 11600 37.3 63.31 46.62 29.93 4.019
LaMarcus Aldridge PF POR 9500 35.3 52.67 39.79 26.91 4.188
Rudy Gobert C UTA 8400 36.7 52.08 36.84 21.61 4.386
Eric Bledsoe SG PHO 8300 37.3 52.64 36.51 20.38 4.399
DeMar DeRozan SG TOR 7500 40.7 52.23 35.51 18.80 4.735
Kemba Walker PG CHA 7500 37.7 48.71 35.27 21.82 4.702
Paul Millsap PF ATL 8300 34.0 47.56 35.17 22.78 4.237
Damian Lillard PG POR 8400 34.3 47.16 34.75 22.34 4.137
Kevin Martin SG MIN 6500 41.7 52.19 34.69 17.19 5.336
Rudy Gay SF SAC 8200 35.7 46.52 34.16 21.80 4.166
Josh Smith PF HOU 6000 33.3 45.88 33.68 21.48 5.614
Gordon Hayward SF UTA 8100 34.7 45.41 32.62 19.83 4.027
Al Jefferson C CHA 7600 30.7 43.81 32.44 21.08 4.269
Marc Gasol C MEM 7500 30.0 40.55 31.69 22.82 4.225
Giannis Antetokounmpo SG MIL 7200 37.3 43.98 31.66 19.34 4.398
Markieff Morris PF PHO 7100 36.0 43.94 31.62 19.31 4.454
Derrick Favors PF UTA 7700 31.0 43.35 31.58 19.82 4.101
Nerlens Noel PF PHI 8300 35.3 47.43 31.53 15.63 3.798
Jeff Teague PG ATL 6500 31.0 44.26 31.33 18.41 4.821
Andrew Wiggins SF MIN 6800 43.0 44.09 30.80 17.52 4.530
Al Horford C ATL 7100 30.0 42.40 30.75 19.09 4.331
Zach LaVine PG MIN 5200 42.7 51.97 29.19 6.40 5.613
Trevor Ariza SF HOU 6200 40.3 40.00 28.86 17.73 4.655
Jordan Clarkson PG LAL 6500 35.3 45.97 28.69 11.41 4.414
Marcus Morris PF PHO 5800 35.7 40.67 28.09 15.52 4.844
Jonas Valanciunas C TOR 6000 29.3 38.81 27.86 16.90 4.643
Mike Conley PG MEM 5800 31.0 40.75 27.64 14.53 4.766
Jeremy Lin PG LAL 5800 31.7 41.52 27.55 13.59 4.750
Zach Randolph PF MEM 7300 26.7 35.78 26.54 17.30 3.636
Mo Williams PG CHA 6900 31.0 38.33 26.52 14.71 3.844
Khris Middleton SF MIL 6600 33.3 39.20 26.50 13.80 4.015
Ricky Rubio PG MIN 7400 26.7 34.35 26.19 18.03 3.539
Zaza Pachulia C MIL 6000 29.3 40.38 25.86 11.34 4.309
Ersan Ilyasova PF MIL 5900 29.3 40.58 25.71 10.84 4.357
Gerald Henderson SF CHA 5700 35.7 38.20 25.47 12.73 4.468
Trey Burke PG UTA 5500 33.3 37.26 25.26 13.26 4.592
Michael Carter-Williams PG MIL 6800 25.7 35.20 24.96 14.72 3.671
P.J. Tucker SF PHO 5200 35.7 36.96 24.92 12.89 4.793
Louis Williams SG TOR 4800 28.3 38.16 24.52 10.87 5.107
DeMarre Carroll SF ATL 5800 33.3 36.16 24.41 12.66 4.209
Evan Turner SG BOS 6700 28.7 36.02 24.33 12.63 3.631
Lorenzo Brown PG MIN 4100 36.0 62.29 24.17 0.00 5.895
Dennis Schroder PG ATL 5700 26.0 35.91 23.89 11.88 4.192
Amir Johnson PF TOR 4600 31.3 34.29 23.53 12.76 5.114
Jeff Green SF MEM 5000 30.0 32.54 23.40 14.27 4.681
Marvin Williams PF CHA 4500 36.3 35.29 23.25 11.20 5.166
Jordan Hill C LAL 6000 25.0 31.60 23.24 14.87 3.873
Robert Covington SF PHI 5200 28.0 34.35 22.76 11.17 4.377
Ray McCallum PG SAC 4900 32.3 39.88 22.61 5.35 4.615
Wesley Matthews SG POR 6200 30.0 33.21 22.59 11.97 3.643
Brandon Knight PG PHO 6700 23.3 31.49 22.53 13.57 3.362
Brandon Bass PF BOS 5600 27.3 33.49 22.38 11.27 3.997
Kyle Korver SG ATL 4700 33.0 33.08 22.34 11.60 4.753
Carlos Boozer PF LAL 5100 23.7 32.28 21.95 11.62 4.304
Ishmael Smith PG PHI 5800 30.0 45.92 21.75 0.00 3.751
Alex Len C PHO 4400 26.7 33.65 21.73 9.81 4.938
Isaiah Thomas PG BOS 6900 23.3 32.74 21.72 10.69 3.148
Greivis Vasquez PG TOR 4000 28.3 33.29 21.43 9.58 5.359
Chase Budinger SF MIN 5000 33.0 36.07 21.42 6.77 4.284
Corey Brewer SF HOU 5100 26.0 32.76 20.91 9.05 4.099
Nicolas Batum SF POR 6600 28.0 30.01 20.73 11.44 3.140
Robin Lopez C POR 5400 27.0 29.81 20.70 11.58 3.833
Wayne Ellington SG LAL 4600 32.0 32.69 20.69 8.69 4.497
Brandan Wright C PHO 4900 20.7 29.42 20.05 10.69 4.092
Jerryd Bayless PG MIL 4200 27.7 32.14 19.86 7.57 4.727
Kevin Garnett PF MIN 4000 21.3 27.21 19.82 12.43 4.955
Trevor Booker PF UTA 3700 25.3 32.42 19.54 6.66 5.282
Avery Bradley SG BOS 5600 28.7 30.56 19.25 7.94 3.438
Patrick Patterson PF TOR 4400 26.0 28.47 19.11 9.75 4.344
Marcus Smart PG BOS 4900 27.3 28.02 18.84 9.65 3.844
Wesley Johnson SF LAL 3900 29.3 28.05 18.72 9.39 4.800
Ryan Kelly PF LAL 3900 34.7 33.56 18.69 3.82 4.793
Arron Afflalo SG POR 3900 28.7 27.70 18.50 9.30 4.744
Adreian Payne PF MIN 4200 29.7 30.71 18.42 6.14 4.387
Terrence Ross SF TOR 3700 29.3 28.99 18.26 7.52 4.935
Tony Allen SG MEM 4800 24.3 26.21 18.25 10.29 3.802
Omri Casspi SF SAC 3800 25.7 29.56 18.04 6.53 4.749
Tarik Black PF LAL 4200 26.3 29.11 17.85 6.59 4.250
Ed Davis PF LAL 5800 18.7 26.53 17.79 9.05 3.067
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute SF PHI 5000 25.0 25.16 17.48 9.79 3.495
Dorell Wright SF POR 4300 22.3 33.64 17.39 1.14 4.045
Ben McLemore SG SAC 4100 31.3 26.15 17.36 8.57 4.235
Rodney Hood SF UTA 4400 27.0 28.79 17.25 5.71 3.921
Mike Muscala PF ATL 4000 19.0 33.20 17.21 1.23 4.303
Jerami Grant PF PHI 3600 25.7 27.42 16.95 6.48 4.708
Jae Crowder SF BOS 5400 26.0 30.70 16.86 3.01 3.121
Bismack Biyombo C CHA 3800 20.7 29.87 16.82 3.77 4.427
Kelly Olynyk C BOS 4200 18.7 26.85 16.72 6.58 3.980
Tyler Zeller C BOS 4700 17.3 23.20 16.13 9.06 3.432
Jason Richardson SG PHI 4000 19.7 22.99 15.38 7.77 3.844
Beno Udrih PG MEM 3600 20.0 24.37 15.34 6.31 4.260
James Johnson SF TOR 3800 17.3 24.79 15.22 5.66 4.006
John Henson PF MIL 4700 16.0 24.89 15.17 5.45 3.227
Jason Terry SG HOU 3700 24.7 24.57 15.14 5.70 4.091
Robbie Hummel SF MIN 3700 24.3 27.40 14.92 2.44 4.032
Pablo Prigioni PG HOU 3500 23.0 25.58 14.81 4.05 4.232
Jonas Jerebko PF BOS 3500 19.7 24.28 14.63 4.98 4.180
T.J. Warren SF PHO 3500 21.7 27.49 14.58 1.68 4.167
Courtney Lee SG MEM 3500 25.7 22.20 14.34 6.49 4.097
Shelvin Mack PG ATL 3500 19.3 25.08 14.26 3.44 4.074
Chris Kaman C POR 4600 14.7 20.75 14.11 7.47 3.067
Joe Ingles SF UTA 3500 25.0 24.21 14.09 3.96 4.025
Hollis Thompson SF PHI 3700 23.3 22.58 14.08 5.57 3.805
Furkan Aldemir PF PHI 3500 17.7 28.43 13.88 0.00 3.965
Kent Bazemore SG ATL 4600 20.7 22.65 13.65 4.66 2.968
Robert Sacre C LAL 3600 20.0 21.70 13.63 5.56 3.786
Joey Dorsey C HOU 3500 17.3 25.94 13.26 0.57 3.788
Archie Goodwin PG PHO 3700 16.0 27.30 13.22 0.00 3.572
Pero Antic C ATL 3500 20.3 23.12 13.11 3.11 3.746
Jeff Adrien PF MIN 3500 14.7 20.70 13.09 5.48 3.740
Vince Carter SF MEM 3500 19.0 20.86 13.06 5.25 3.730
P.J. Hairston SG CHA 3600 19.3 23.27 13.00 2.74 3.612
Phil (Flip) Pressey PG BOS 3700 16.3 24.93 12.97 1.02 3.506
Isaiah Canaan PG PHI 4200 19.7 24.23 12.90 1.58 3.072
Luigi Datome SF BOS 3500 11.7 22.98 12.90 2.82 3.686
Kenyon Martin PF MIL 3600 19.3 22.08 12.88 3.69 3.578
Thomas Robinson PF PHI 4300 16.0 23.21 12.65 2.09 2.942
John Jenkins SG ATL 3700 17.7 25.13 12.46 0.00 3.368
C.J. McCollum SG POR 4300 19.3 23.18 12.34 1.49 2.869
Kosta Koufos C MEM 3500 15.3 19.53 12.28 5.04 3.509
Nick Calathes PG MEM 3500 15.3 21.20 12.26 3.31 3.502
Derrick Williams PF SAC 3500 19.7 21.16 12.19 3.23 3.484
Andre Miller PG SAC 3800 16.0 19.63 12.07 4.51 3.176
Cody Zeller PF CHA 4600 15.3 18.82 11.97 5.11 2.601
Jason Thompson PF SAC 3700 17.7 18.69 11.51 4.33 3.111
Meyers Leonard C POR 4600 15.0 20.00 11.36 2.72 2.470
Ronnie Price PG LAL 3700 17.3 19.28 11.32 3.36 3.059
Elijah Millsap SG UTA 3700 18.7 18.88 11.32 3.76 3.058
Thabo Sefolosha SG ATL 3500 14.3 17.68 11.01 4.35 3.147
Elton Brand PF ATL 3600 16.0 18.65 10.81 2.96 3.002
Steve Blake PG POR 3500 17.3 17.96 10.47 2.98 2.991
Jakarr Sampson PF PHI 3500 16.0 23.86 10.21 0.00 2.916
Alonzo Gee SF POR 3600 15.0 20.99 10.14 0.00 2.817
O.J. Mayo SG MIL 4200 13.0 15.43 10.13 4.82 2.411
Marcus Thornton SG PHO 3500 12.3 16.62 10.03 3.45 2.866
Henry Sims C PHI 3500 11.7 15.25 9.77 4.29 2.791
Gerald Green SF PHO 3600 11.3 16.58 9.66 2.74 2.684
Dante Exum PG UTA 3500 20.3 17.63 9.61 1.59 2.745
Allen Crabbe SG POR 3500 18.0 27.23 9.55 0.00 2.728
Nik Stauskas SG SAC 3500 19.0 18.17 9.24 0.32 2.641
Francisco Garcia SF HOU 3500 17.3 15.39 9.18 2.96 2.622
Larry Drew II PG PHI 3500 16.3 14.60 8.84 3.08 2.525
Jorge Gutierrez PG MIL 3500 11.3 17.11 8.73 0.35 2.495
Lance Stephenson SG CHA 3500 11.3 12.02 8.41 4.81 2.404
Jeffery Taylor SF CHA 3500 13.3 18.86 8.34 0.00 2.382
Jarnell Stokes PF MEM 3800 9.3 19.17 8.01 0.00 2.109
Anthony Bennett PF MIN 3500 10.7 13.50 7.96 2.42 2.275
Jason Maxiell C CHA 3500 12.7 15.59 7.89 0.20 2.255
Justin Hamilton C MIN 5000 14.0 22.28 7.73 0.00 1.546
Tyler Ennis PG MIL 3500 9.3 13.58 7.63 1.68 2.179
JaVale McGee C PHI 3500 8.3 15.34 7.56 0.00 2.161
Joel Freeland C POR 3600 10.3 14.61 7.43 0.26 2.065
Ryan Hollins C SAC 3500 10.7 20.46 7.26 0.00 2.074
Brian Roberts PG CHA 3500 11.3 11.66 7.12 2.59 2.036
Malcolm Thomas PF PHI 3500 11.7 13.36 7.08 0.80 2.022
Carl Landry PF SAC 3500 8.7 11.40 6.38 1.36 1.822
Jeremy Evans SF UTA 3500 7.0 13.21 6.09 0.00 1.739
Miles Plumlee C MIL 3500 8.0 9.46 5.87 2.28 1.677
Tyler Hansbrough PF TOR 3500 9.0 9.67 5.73 1.79 1.637
Gerald Wallace SF BOS 3500 10.7 10.82 5.24 0.00 1.496
A.J. Price PG PHO 3500 6.0 8.19 4.98 1.78 1.424
Austin Daye SF ATL 3500 6.7 8.92 4.82 0.72 1.377
Jannero Pargo PG CHA 3500 6.0 8.45 4.41 0.36 1.259
Jordan Adams SG MEM 3500 6.3 9.92 4.25 0.00 1.213
Reggie Evans PF SAC 3500 5.3 6.37 4.05 1.72 1.156
Nick Johnson SG HOU 3500 7.7 11.30 3.91 0.00 1.117
Chuck Hayes C TOR 3500 6.3 7.06 3.90 0.75 1.115
Patrick Christopher SG UTA 3500 7.7 8.30 3.75 0.00 1.073
Lucas Nogueira C TOR 3500 3.7 6.76 3.62 0.48 1.034
Xavier Henry SG LAL 3500 9.3 7.47 3.51 0.00 1.002
John Salmons SF PHO 3500 8.7 7.06 3.46 0.00 0.988
Johnny O'Bryant C MIL 3500 6.7 7.42 3.43 0.00 0.979
Tyrus Thomas PF MEM 3500 4.3 6.98 3.40 0.00 0.973
Shavlik Randolph PF BOS 3500 5.3 8.91 3.31 0.00 0.946
Drew Gordon SF PHI 3500 6.3 6.25 3.18 0.10 0.907
Reggie Bullock SF PHO 3500 6.0 7.32 3.15 0.00 0.900
Jared Cunningham SG PHI 3500 4.0 7.31 2.69 0.00 0.768
James Young SF BOS 3500 4.7 5.23 2.68 0.12 0.765
Ronny Turiaf C PHI 3500 12.0 3.73 2.65 1.57 0.758
Glenn Robinson III SF PHI 3500 5.3 7.30 2.63 0.00 0.752
Jon Leuer PF MEM 3500 3.3 4.37 2.52 0.67 0.720
Troy Daniels PG CHA 3500 5.0 6.40 2.51 0.00 0.717
JaMychal Green SF MEM 3500 3.3 4.77 2.29 0.00 0.655
Noah Vonleh PF CHA 3500 2.7 6.17 2.25 0.00 0.642
Grant Jerrett PF UTA 3500 3.7 4.15 2.24 0.34 0.641
Greg Stiemsma C TOR 3500 3.7 4.92 2.11 0.00 0.602
Kalin Lucas PG MEM 3500 6.0 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.571
Miroslav Raduljica C MIN 3500 3.0 4.49 1.83 0.00 0.522
Clint Capela PF HOU 3500 3.0 4.46 1.82 0.00 0.519
Andre Dawkins SG BOS 3500 6.7 5.46 1.79 0.00 0.511
Andrei Kirilenko SF PHI 3500 3.3 3.17 1.40 0.00 0.399
Russ Smith PG MEM 3500 6.0 8.16 0.95 0.00 0.272
K.J. McDaniels SF HOU 3500 1.3 1.66 0.94 0.23 0.270
Chris Douglas-Roberts SF BOS 3500 2.0 1.91 0.80 0.00 0.230
Landry Fields SF TOR 3500 1.3 1.81 0.70 0.00 0.199
Bruno Caboclo SF TOR 3500 1.3 2.49 0.66 0.00 0.188
Danny Granger SG PHO 3500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Darren Collison PG SAC 6300 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Donatas Motiejunas PF HOU 6200 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Dwight Howard C HOU 7500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Gary Neal SG MIN 3900 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Gorgui Dieng C MIN 6700 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Jared Dudley SF MIL 3900 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Kostas Papanikolaou SF HOU 3500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Kyle Lowry PG TOR 7800 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Malcolm Lee SG PHI 3500 10.7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist SF CHA 5900 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Mike Scott PF ATL 3700 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Nick Young SG LAL 3900 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Nikola Pekovic C MIN 5800 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Patrick Beverley PG HOU 4500 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Terrence Jones PF HOU 6400 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000

FanDuel is hosting their $225,000 NBA Slam tournament where the winner takes home $25,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel!

 



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