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Team Wins and Losses By Size - Big and Small Wins and Losses: 2016 NFL Season

For this grid, it isn't as simple as a "win is a win." Below is a categorization of a teams wins and losses into four categories:

    • Big Win - a win in which the team won by 10 or more points.
    • Small Win - a win in which the team won by between 1 and 9 points.
    • Big Loss - a loss in which the team lost by 10 or more points.
    • Small Loss - a loss in which the team lost by between 1 and 9 points.

Teams that are able to consistently outscore opponents by significant margins should be considered to be very strong teams vs. teams that edge out wins by smaller margins. This strength is represented in the Big Win % statistics below which measures the percentage of a teams games that are won by 10 or more points.

Additionally, a statistic that can indicate a larger degree of luckiness or unluckiness is the Small Win-Loss Differential which compares the number of small wins to small losses. Wins and losses in the 9 or less point range can be thought of as more random than big wins and losses and therefore a team with a large differential (either positive or negative) can be a sign that the team got lucky or unlucky in close games - something that is unlikely to repeat and can be a sign of a team that could regress.


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